TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2ab1…b4ec

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Asian League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$66.1
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,876Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,876.4
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 211.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,516Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,515.82
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,100
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 102.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+79.9%+$799.02
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+52.3%+$523.25
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+223.9%+$1,343.57
76ers vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 111.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$107.58
Nuggets vs. Kings: O/U 240.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+96.1%+$46.78
Clippers vs. Rockets: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+83.2%+$17.46
Clippers vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 106.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hull City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$140.9
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Everton FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$977Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$976.99
Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$4,144Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+97.4%+$4,036.32
Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$520.8
Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$533.33
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,038Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,037.85
Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,970Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$656.67
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-31.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Sevilla FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$1,178.57
Sevilla FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$674.19
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Córdoba CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$782Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$782.23
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$471Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$470.64
Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$24.25
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Girona FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$98.45
Spread: Barcelona (-2.5)backed Elche CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+49.3%+$7.31
All 9 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.43per pick63cpaid-67.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC København vs. Vejle BK: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,374Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$607.62
Konyaspor vs. Trabzonspor: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$779Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$779.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AJ Auxerre vs. Angers SCO: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will Toulouse FC vs. Le Havre AC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+28.2%+$3.27
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Inter Miami CF vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Melbourne City FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,170Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,169.79
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.