NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Kings: O/U 240.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b8317273ce21772e29fee5ba146521f7b2c31237de16c1dee99c880f35a1c70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,670
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,218
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,670 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Under | 53c | 10,817$5,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,725 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed6…e517backed Over | 48c | 5,208$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,708.33 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 4,796$2,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,541.89 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70e9…55ecbacked Over | 50c | 4,314$2,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,157 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.0wins | +0.40per pick | 50cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +6.4wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…0831backed Under | 54c | 3,430$1,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,852.11 | 185 | 58.4%108 W · 77 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 46c | 3,414$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,843.63 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Under | 53c | 3,334$1,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.76 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Under | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 50c | 2,767$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.73 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Over | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 47c | 1,919$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.07 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Under | 10c | 1,786$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.68 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Under | 49c | 1,700$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833 | 481 | 46.2%222 W · 259 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 40c | 1,631$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.24 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 53c | 1,419$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.07 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over | 48c | 1,254$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 50c | 1,098$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.83 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 24c | 1,037$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.09 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 47c | 908.78$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.29 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb07…0769backed Under | 9c | 839.54$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.83 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Over | 48c | 827$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.04 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 54c | 721.7$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.9 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Over | 48c | 706.54$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.4 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Under | 27c | 592$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.84 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Under | 15c | 579.07$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.84 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46bd…37e8backed Over | 49c | 551.02$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.02 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -20.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Under | 39c | 504.56$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.96 | 479 | 49.7%238 W · 241 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Under | 5c | 405$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +32.5wins | +0.23per pick | 16cpaid | +228.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…5c93backed Over | 63c | 399.99$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.99 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 30c | 366.08$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.27 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 28c | 319.79$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.86 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Over | 69c | 299.99$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Under | 36c | 278.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…31c1backed Under | 54c | 244.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.3 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Over | 70c | 242.86$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.86 | 271 | 61.3%166 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 51c | 225.49$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.49 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed0…0585backed Over | 73c | 206$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.62 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x623c…dde0backed Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Under | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4556…2b35backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd3…c066backed Under | 54c | 181.48$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb714…4b06backed Under | 38c | 158.71$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.03 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 50c | 149.95$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.09 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Under | 40c | 146.4$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.95 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Under | 79c | 129.98$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.56 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Under | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | +15.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Under | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1d…ff79backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab1…b4ecbacked Over | 51c | 95.47$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.78 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a5…1633backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f80…d2ecbacked Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf68…8682backed Under | 38c | 93.95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Over | 58c | 84.48$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.48 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 40c | 84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Under | 43c | 81.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 710 | 44.6%317 W · 393 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a42…6aa2backed Under | 38c | 61.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…a045backed Under | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Under | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…4d94backed Under | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Under | 52c | 54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Under | 55c | 52.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 249 | 55%137 W · 112 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd64…c090backed Under | 49c | 50.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76c0…d8bebacked Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Under | 53c | 49.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -9.4wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…0b8dbacked Under | 51c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Under | 51c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1156…cd4abacked Under | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5490backed Under | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 288 | 56.9%164 W · 124 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…f9a1backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 350 | 52%182 W · 168 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb456…1774backed Over | 62c | 31.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 50c | 30.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc912…697abacked Under | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…67b1backed Over | 49c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa660…cb31backed Under | 53c | 24.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…341dbacked Over | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Under | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 236 | 51.7%122 W · 114 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Kings: O/U 240.5this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)Nuggets won
- Nuggets vs. KingsNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Kings: O/U 237.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Kings: O/U 238.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Kings: O/U 239.5Over won
- Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.