NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Kings: O/U 239.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0367179e947d98e1fd421a89879ebb5d84323b7f369e11db8ca67f7595e87d9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $205,996
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $208,181
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $205,996 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 2c | 47,079$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.24 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 16c | 17,183$2,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,723.47 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb351…5fbfbacked Over | 49c | 14,864$7,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,621.29 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Under | 52c | 12,922$6,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,748.6 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Under | 48c | 9,726$4,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,668.61 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 49c | 8,955$4,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,427.49 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710a…a5d8backed Over | 52c | 7,900$4,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,792 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5e…9bd5backed Under | 48c | 7,900$3,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,792 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1f…c37dbacked Under | 46c | 7,400$3,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,404 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c41…02e2backed Over | 54c | 7,400$3,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,404 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 52c | 7,310$3,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,507.62 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Under | 51c | 7,000$3,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,570 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 49c | 6,961$3,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,542.02 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Under | 5c | 6,083$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.14 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…73bcbacked Under | 54c | 5,584$2,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,998 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 17c | 5,142$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.03 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Over | 51c | 5,000$2,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Under | 52c | 4,180$2,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,152.8 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Over | 49c | 4,030$1,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,055.96 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…0329backed Under | 2c | 3,560$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae5…b896backed Under | 51c | 3,500$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 3,436$1,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,758.87 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Under | 51c | 3,333$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.83 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 51c | 2,569$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.63 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 46c | 2,177$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.42 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Over | 51c | 2,150$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.5 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Over | 47c | 2,110$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.3 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Under | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 50c | 1,940$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.87 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 31c | 1,538$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.21 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb07…0769backed Under | 3c | 1,350$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.64 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 50c | 1,314$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.37 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Under | 52c | 1,250$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Under | 23c | 1,171$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.71 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 57c | 1,118$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.68 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Under | 50c | 978$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over | 50c | 974.72$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.36 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Under | 43c | 869.76$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.78 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 52c | 834$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.32 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 48c | 752.88$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.5 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb433…f543backed Over | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Under | 50c | 680.39$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.8 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 48c | 674$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.48 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 47c | 629.72$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.75 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 47c | 586.03$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.73 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 52c | 542.27$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.29 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 47c | 529.23$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.41 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Over | 47c | 452.6$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.88 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 48c | 425$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Over | 47c | 414.72$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.1 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d56…0ba5backed Over | 52c | 370$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.2 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Over | 51c | 366.67$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.67 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…414fbacked Over | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4455…98e5backed Over | 56c | 318.73$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.33 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 50c | 310.39$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.29 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb1…984ebacked Under | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 160 | 52.5%84 W · 76 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d53…061cbacked Under | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 52c | 292$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.16 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 53c | 258.65$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.45 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 51c | 245$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.73 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Under | 50c | 245$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 156 | 56.4%88 W · 68 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Under | 21c | 245$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a1…2974backed Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 173 | 31.8%55 W · 118 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 51c | 196$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Under | 51c | 195.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 170 | 35.9%61 W · 109 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Over | 47c | 163.5$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.66 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Under | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7068…c63bbacked Under | 51c | 137$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.87 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa75d…1d45backed Over | 47c | 117.02$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.02 | 223 | 47.1%105 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a82…b6bdbacked Over | 47c | 108.51$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.51 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 51c | 106$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Over | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 166 | 69.9%116 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 217 | 49.3%107 W · 110 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Under | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 12c | 97.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…e601backed Over | 50c | 95.24$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.62 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x178d…0b05backed Over | 80c | 94$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 50c | 84.03$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 473 | 49%232 W · 241 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76c0…d8bebacked Over | 62c | 83.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 56c | 81.96$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.68 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Under | 49c | 71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd06…cb1cbacked Over | 50c | 71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 37c | 70$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 353 | 52.4%185 W · 168 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Under | 51c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd854…924fbacked Under | 53c | 70$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce7…4eaebacked Over | 50c | 66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Under | 50c | 64$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 48c | 60.81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…f967backed Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 244 | 54.1%132 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e6…224cbacked Under | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc42…01b2backed Over | 55c | 53.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Kings: O/U 239.5this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)Nuggets won
- Nuggets vs. KingsNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Kings: O/U 237.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Kings: O/U 238.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Kings: O/U 240.5Over won
- Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-8.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.