TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x76c0…d8be

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
60
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: CS2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 55 out of 100; worst Lol at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST3225%8 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-47%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$22.86
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$11.5
Will Top Esports win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$25.29
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$27.82
Will Anyone’s Legend win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.38
Will G2 Esports win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.43
Will a team from LCP (Pacific) win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$95.71
Will Bilibili Gaming win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.97
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic (BO3)backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$134.46
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$76.99
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO1)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$256.67
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs FlyQuest (BO1)backed Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.15
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$49.45
League of Legends: JD Gaming vs. Weibo Gamingbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT+123%+$213.97
League of Legends: KT Rolster vs. Hanwha Life Esportsbacked KT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$163.68
League of Legends: Ultra Prime vs. LNG Esportsbacked LNG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
League of Legends: BNK FEARX vs. Dplus KIAbacked Dplus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$477Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$477.11
League of Legends: Gen.G vs. T1backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+206.2%+$310.83
League of Legends: DRX vs. DN Freecsbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$61
League of Legends: OKSavingsBank BRION vs. BNK FEARXbacked BNK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$65.45
League of Legends: Team WE vs. FunPlus Phoenixbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$94.12
League of Legends: Disguised vs. Shopify Rebellionbacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$93.21
League of Legends: Gen.G vs. Hanwha Life Esportsbacked Hanwha Life · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
League of Legends: LGD Gaming vs. Ninjas in Pyjamasbacked LGD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$92.75
League of Legends: Ultra Prime vs. ThunderTalk Gamingbacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST2045%9 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+0.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vitality win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+455.6%+$159.76
Will Team Falcons win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Legacy (BO5)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.21
BLAST Bounty: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs. paiNbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+113.5%+$128.15
BLAST Bounty: OG vs. MOUZbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+43.1%+$5.72
BLAST Bounty: Passion UA vs. Spiritbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
BLAST Bounty: TNL vs. Natus Vincerebacked TNL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.88
BLAST Bounty: MIBR vs. Virtus.probacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+41.5%+$83.1
Will MOUZ win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.8
IEM Cologne: Spirit vs. MOUZbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$407Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$407.24
Will Vitality win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+152.5%+$433.62
Will Natus Vincere win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$86.64
IEM Cologne: FaZe vs. BIGbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$151
IEM Cologne: 3DMAX vs. MIBR:backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$4.17
IEM Cologne: FlyQuest vs. FURIAbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$86.97
IEM Cologne: Astralis vs. B8backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+30.9%+$74.56
IEM Cologne: TYLOO vs. Virtus.probacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$39.24
Will Astralis win the FISSURE Playground 1 Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+205.9%+$432.42
FISSURE Playground 1: TYLOO vs. SAWbacked SAW · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.2
FISSURE Playground 1: Lynn Vision vs. Astralisbacked Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$114.84
All 20 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-35.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas vs. Kentuckybacked Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Yankees vs. Rangersbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.