CS2 · resolved market
IEM Cologne: TYLOO vs. Virtus.pro
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef2adbda5e9599180048f372792972f5d5cfdda2ad154e444c9427fd0f84d12a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtus.proof TYLOO, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,587
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,862
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,587 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9dcb…3e9ebacked TYLOO | 54c | 42,395$22,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,988.11 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Virtus.pro | 45c | 33,370$15,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,310.88 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ad…337dbacked Virtus.pro | 47c | 14,081$6,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,465.95 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Virtus.pro | 46c | 9,800$4,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,291.99 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1669…22efbacked TYLOO | 58c | 5,145$2,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,966.78 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed TYLOO | 16c | 4,512$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.38 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed TYLOO | 54c | 2,685$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.9 | 859 | 46.1%396 W · 463 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed TYLOO | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae0e…6527backed Virtus.pro | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed TYLOO | 53c | 1,564$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.78 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 1,514$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.8 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…61bcbacked TYLOO | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 142 | 39.4%56 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc559…ac69backed TYLOO | 48c | 1,454$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.9wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -55%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9f78…68a4backed TYLOO | 8c | 1,396$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.68 | 85 | 4.7%4 W · 81 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed TYLOO | 3c | 1,366$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.57 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed TYLOO | 55c | 1,321$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.31 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed TYLOO | 8c | 1,100$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed TYLOO | 55c | 1,000$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98b1…d855backed Virtus.pro | 47c | 819.36$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.26 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Virtus.pro | 47c | 724.96$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.48 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked TYLOO | 55c | 710.36$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.7 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed TYLOO | 37c | 538.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked TYLOO | 55c | 506.13$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.37 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…db6ebacked TYLOO | 54c | 422$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.88 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed TYLOO | 28c | 315.86$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.09 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Virtus.pro | 46c | 303.15$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.7 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed TYLOO | 55c | 299.86$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.56 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc6…a361backed Virtus.pro | 75c | 197.33$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.33 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed TYLOO | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed TYLOO | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 334 | 56.6%189 W · 145 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Virtus.pro | 47c | 184.75$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.92 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Virtus.pro | 73c | 184$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.49 | 421 | 49.6%209 W · 212 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked TYLOO | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed TYLOO | 38c | 155.06$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c0…d8bebacked Virtus.pro | 74c | 150.91$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.24 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Virtus.pro | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…ffb8backed TYLOO | 55c | 130$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf113…ab9ebacked TYLOO | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked TYLOO | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed TYLOO | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbb…fc88backed TYLOO | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked TYLOO | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb389…abf8backed TYLOO | 43c | 91.27$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed Virtus.pro | 52c | 62.94$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb48…19b3backed TYLOO | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a9…23c3backed TYLOO | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Virtus.pro | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 252 | 43.3%109 W · 143 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed TYLOO | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 201 | 47.3%95 W · 106 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4895…0a83backed TYLOO | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c6…7624backed Virtus.pro | 47c | 44.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf82b…5211backed TYLOO | 45c | 42.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Virtus.pro | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked TYLOO | 54c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65ae…1c6dbacked TYLOO | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed TYLOO | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 737 | 58.2%429 W · 308 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9831…1220backed TYLOO | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29e9…c49cbacked TYLOO | 59c | 33.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Virtus.pro | 79c | 23.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 755 | 50.6%382 W · 373 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.