TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1dbb…050c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
303
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: NFL, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 53 out of 100; worst Premier League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST12360.2%74 W · 49 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 123 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,346Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$1,345.92
LoL: Shifters vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$735Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$735
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked OKSavingsBank BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,775Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,774.62
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,142Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+55.6%+$634.87
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,426Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+44.9%+$640.45
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,064Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$2,064.33
LoL: Team Heretics vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,127Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+26.6%+$299.67
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$573Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$573.13
LoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,347Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$2,347.38
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$554Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$554.27
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Group Stagebacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+75.4%+$301.75
LoL: Oh My God vs Ultra Prime (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$526Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$525.54
LoL: Dark Passage vs Team Phoenix (BO3) - TCL Group Abacked Team Phoenix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,290Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+70.7%+$1,619.68
LoL: DRX vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$761Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$761.23
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$577Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+32.1%+$185.35
LoL: Senshi Esports Club vs The Bandits (BO3) - Road Of Legends Tier 1 Groupbacked The Bandits · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$578Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$577.53
LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI (BO1)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,295Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$2,294.85
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Group Stagebacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,203Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+56.2%+$1,799.19
LoL: Team Heretics vs GIANTX (BO1)backed GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$614Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$613.93
LoL: T1 Academy vs BNK FearX Youthbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,011Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,011.39
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs T1 Academybacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,314Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,314.26
LoL: DNF.C vs BFXYbacked DNF.C · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,828Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,827.77
LoL: GEN vs. T1backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,135Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$398.9
League of Legends: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs. Anyone's Legendbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$580
Showing 25 of 123 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST8956.2%50 W · 39 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 89 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs fnatic (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$529Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$529.41
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Group Stagebacked Sangal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+33.3%+$166.5
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Heroicbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,027Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,026.57
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs ENCEbacked ENCE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,433Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+99.2%+$1,421.91
Counter-Strike: 500 vs ARCREDbacked ARCRED · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$953Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$952.73
CS: FUT vs Beterabacked FUT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$173.25
CS: fnatic vs Nemigabacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$58.14
CS: SAW vs ENCEbacked ENCE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$506Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+36.5%+$184.66
Will The MongolZ win FISSURE Playground 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,365Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,365.47
CS: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs B8backed Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$667Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+59.6%+$397.66
LoL: BLG vs TESbacked TES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,353Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,353.1
CS: FURIA vs Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,223Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,223.11
LoL: TES vs ALbacked TES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,179Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$2,011.39
LoL: KT vs HLEbacked HLE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,768Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+33.4%+$590.71
CS: FURIA vs Astralisbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,150Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$566.55
CS: Aurora vs Liquidbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,164Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,164.24
CS: G2 vs The MongolZbacked The MongolZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$350.27
LoL: ES vs BDSAbacked ES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+97.4%+$220.65
LoL: T1 vs DKbacked DK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$315.81
CS: paiN vs Virtus.probacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$464Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$364.76
Valorant: PRX vs GXbacked GX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$145
LoL: DK vs BFXbacked DK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$803Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+59.9%+$480.76
CS: Astralis vs Legacybacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$575Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$433.67
LoL: BDSA vs ESbacked BDSA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.54
CS: TYLOO vs Liquidbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Showing 25 of 89 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 24, 2025, EDT5352.8%28 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nationals vs. Bravesbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$100.27
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacksbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,284Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,284.2
White Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$5,378Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+48.4%+$2,604.38
Brewers vs. Padresbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,201Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,201.39
Cardinals vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Nationals vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$171.43
Red Sox vs. Raysbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,464Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,463.82
Mariners vs. Astrosbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$337Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$244.08
Guardians vs. Twinsbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,950Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$3,070.57
Blue Jays vs. Raysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$235.1
Blue Jays vs. Raysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$470.48
NRFI: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$288.24
Blue Jays vs. Raysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+100%+$200
Orioles vs. White Soxbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$452.63
Blue Jays vs. Raysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$604Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+87.5%+$528.49
Cubs vs. Piratesbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
Pirates vs. Oriolesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,607Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,606.68
Mets vs. Phillies: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Twins vs. Angels: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,003Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$615.08
Red Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$500.44
Brewers vs. Rangersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Dodgers vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+45%+$45
Phillies vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$479.87
Braves vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Cubs vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$101.4
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs AVULUS (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Group Abacked AVULUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$697Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$697.5
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+100%+$487.75
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs. Team Spiritbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,158Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$804.41
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs. Tundra Esportsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs. Natus Vincerebacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+93.9%+$281.73
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs. Team Tideboundbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+73.3%+$146.55
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs. PARIVISIONbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+62%+$223.33
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs. Xtreme Gamingbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,113Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,113.26
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs. Nigma Galaxybacked BetBoom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$556Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$556.14
Dota 2: Aurora vs. XGbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$320
Will Team Spirit win the 2025 Dota 2 Esports World Cup Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+314.3%+$314.29
Will Team Falcons win the 2025 Dota 2 Esports World Cup Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Team Liquid win the 2025 Dota 2 Esports World Cup Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$150.18
All 13 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+36.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Pcific Esports vs BBL Esports (BO3)backed BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$556Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+66.7%+$370.4
Valorant: MIBR vs DRXbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$341Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+143.2%+$488.51
Will Team Heretics win VALORANT Champions 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$148.1
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Sep 29, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+71%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Broncos vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,606Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+75.1%+$1,957.41
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+66.8%+$167.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$959Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$959.49
Rockets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$112.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 22, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-33.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-09-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,023Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+32.3%+$653.28
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-09-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$689Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$689.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$304.95
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+278.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Tariff" 15+ times during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+278.7%+$69.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strikes Yemen by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$65.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 23, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,031Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+43.3%+$879.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Sep 16, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$79.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Napoli vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Aug 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boise State vs. South Floridabacked Boise State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,003Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,003.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Levon Aronian win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$431Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$431.39
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.