MLB · resolved market
Blue Jays vs. Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85f219288d6b9187f89eeba5ae2787dc6eebd7cf716e8bac3b0f85966a7c53a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raysof Blue Jays, Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $282,371
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $281,482
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $282,371 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 462 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Rays | 47c | 55,549$26,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,441.06 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Blue Jays | 45c | 54,353$24,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,405.94 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rays | 55c | 35,476$19,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,801.58 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Blue Jays | 54c | 32,685$17,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,510.28 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Rays | 46c | 29,686$13,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,145.88 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Blue Jays | 52c | 22,596$11,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,749.92 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Blue Jays | 53c | 13,000$6,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,890 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rays | 46c | 10,552$4,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,707.1 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Blue Jays | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Blue Jays | 53c | 8,888$4,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,710.64 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Rays | 45c | 7,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,849.98 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Blue Jays | 53c | 5,642$2,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,990.86 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Blue Jays | 49c | 4,490$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rays | 58c | 4,327$2,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,817 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…f91cbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Rays | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.99 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Blue Jays | 54c | 3,105$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rays | 46c | 3,066$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.91 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Blue Jays | 52c | 2,810$1,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.2 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Blue Jays | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd39f…d494backed Blue Jays | 1c | 2,419$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Rays | 45c | 2,126$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.59 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…816ebacked Rays | 46c | 2,077$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.43 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jays | 16c | 2,056$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.15 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Blue Jays | 18c | 2,036$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Blue Jays | 54c | 1,835$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Rays | 61c | 1,768$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.21 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Rays | 46c | 1,740$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.6 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Blue Jays | 54c | 1,667$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.33 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Blue Jays | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Rays | 46c | 1,187$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.82 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0b…a747backed Rays | 46c | 1,182$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.43 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Blue Jays | 10c | 1,170$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Rays | 46c | 1,086$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.42 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Blue Jays | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e08…9726backed Rays | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Rays | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Blue Jays | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.5 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Blue Jays | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…5014backed Blue Jays | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…8908backed Rays | 45c | 999.99$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.99 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed Blue Jays | 54c | 999.97$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.98 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Rays | 44c | 950.96$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.96 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9718…fa5dbacked Rays | 46c | 905$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.7 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 901.3$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.01 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Blue Jays | 54c | 900$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Blue Jays | 30c | 900$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Rays | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.57 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Rays | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.06 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Rays | 44c | 800$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56bb…8e6bbacked Blue Jays | 37c | 753.79$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.2 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Rays | 72c | 745.61$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.7 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Rays | 46c | 743.67$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.3 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Blue Jays | 2c | 685.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63dd…c279backed Blue Jays | 55c | 670.91$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Blue Jays | 3c | 640.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Blue Jays | 52c | 639$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.57 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Blue Jays | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.99 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Blue Jays | 56c | 599$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.44 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Rays | 46c | 589$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.06 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…1778backed Blue Jays | 17c | 584.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Rays | 77c | 577.15$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.22 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Rays | 45c | 530.83$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.96 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Rays | 46c | 500.02$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.01 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Blue Jays | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed Blue Jays | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Blue Jays | 55c | 469.09$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Blue Jays | 54c | 460$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.4 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Blue Jays | 9c | 444.1$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.78 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Blue Jays | 11c | 436$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Rays | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Rays | 46c | 434$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.36 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 427.45$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.1 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Blue Jays | 15c | 421.57$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Blue Jays | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Rays | 45c | 380$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Blue Jays | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Blue Jays | 45c | 356.29$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.29 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Blue Jays | 7c | 325.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Rays | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Rays | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Blue Jays | 24c | 291.67$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.61 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Blue Jays | 56c | 285.71$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Rays | 47c | 270$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.4 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Blue Jays | 54c | 270$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.3 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Blue Jays | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03be…5493backed Blue Jays | 18c | 234.53$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.13 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Rays | 45c | 225$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.75 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Blue Jays | 56c | 223.21$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb71c…2aa2backed Blue Jays | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Rays | 44c | 217.08$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.56 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Rays | 47c | 207.51$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.98 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Blue Jays | 15c | 200$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9533…6d5fbacked Rays | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +7.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x38f7…7f8dbacked Rays | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…fb4fbacked Rays | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe5…3c80backed Rays | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df5…2390backed Rays | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245f…b6d7backed Blue Jays | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blue Jays vs. Raysthis page
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.