TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x56bb…8e6b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
168
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: CS2, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 57 out of 100; worst College Football at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT4047.5%19 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+71.4%+$125
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+100%+$50
Brewers vs. Dodgersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$142.6
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$350
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$218
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$246.99
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,059Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+27.8%+$294.68
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+205.3%+$269
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$498.25
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,132Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,132
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$510
Cardinals vs. Cubsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$400.45
Rays vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$283.16
Astros vs. Athleticsbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.16
Rays vs. Oriolesbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.16
Red Sox vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$93.21
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$106.91
Brewers vs. Cardinalsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,004Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,004.01
Yankees vs. Oriolesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,809Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,809.09
Cubs vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$852Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+176.8%+$1,505.97
Giants vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,701Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$957.09
Angels vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+72%+$575.83
Yankees vs. Oriolesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$257.58
Padres vs. Metsbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$165
Blue Jays vs. Raysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$280.2
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT2814.3%4 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-29.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$44
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$173.3
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs PSG Talon (BO3)backed Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+290.6%+$372
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnatic (BO3)backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.37
LoL: 100 Thieves vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO1)backed 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.6
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO1)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Gen.G (BO1)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.01
LoL: Top Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO1)backed 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.86
LoL: FlyQuest vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO1)backed Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
LoL: Gen.G vs PSG Talon (BO1)backed PSG Talon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$230.32
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO1)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$164
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$360.12
LoL: FlyQuest vs T1 (BO1)backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs 100 Thieves (BO1)backed 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+733.3%+$517.22
LoL: KT Rolster vs Movistar KOI (BO1)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.7
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Team Secret Whales (BO1)backed Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$274
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Fnatic (BO1)backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Will Invictus Gaming win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$181.63
LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming (BO5)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$513Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$513
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO3)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$105
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+303.2%+$451.2
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs BNK FearX Youthbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$47
LoL: T1 Academy vs BNK FearX Youthbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+254.5%+$203.71
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Fnaticbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$271
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST1850%9 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)backed Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Lions vs. Eagles: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$40.8
Spread: Dolphins (-2.5)backed Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$102
Falcons vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$341Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+39.5%+$134.51
Colts vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$816Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$816.15
Spread: Eagles (-2.5)backed Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$519Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$518.68
Dolphins vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+74.4%+$128
Bills vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$165
Lions vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$136.84
49ers vs. Buccaneersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$118
Cardinals vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+58%+$155.04
Commanders vs. Falconsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Vikings vs. Steelersbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.82
Broncos vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,745Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$1,263.33
Chargers vs. Raidersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$411Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+37%+$152.1
Buccaneers vs. Texansbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$113.99
Falcons vs. Vikingsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$74.02
Broncos vs. Coltsbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$419Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$419.17
All 18 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST1553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Islanders vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Utah (-1.5)backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+92.3%+$9.6
Kings vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+30.5%+$4.05
Islanders vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+42.9%+$30
Spread: Capitals (-1.5)backed Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Wild vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.99
Rangers vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$196.68
Oilers vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$24.5
Canucks vs. Blackhawksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+152.1%+$181
Bruins vs. Golden Knightsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.68
Panthers vs. Devilsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
Penguins vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$92
Oilers vs. Rangersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$135
Predators vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$104
All 15 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST1330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-41.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Central Michigan (-9.5)backed Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$106
Clemson vs. Louisvillebacked Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$84
Missouri vs. Auburnbacked Missouri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+100%+$50
SMU Mustangs vs. Clemsonbacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+150%+$119.99
Georgia Tech vs. Dukebacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$59
Spread: Vanderbilt (-2.5)backed LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$38
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Minnesotabacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$47
Spread: Miami (-13.5)backed Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+78.7%+$40.09
Florida International vs. Western Kentuckybacked Western Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$467Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$467.1
New Mexico State vs. Libertybacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$125
Alabama vs. Missouribacked Missouri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$87.88
South Florida vs. North Texasbacked North Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$622Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$621.79
BYU vs. Coloradobacked Colorado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.83
All 13 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.27per pick36cpaid+49.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Sep 26, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-45.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+85.2%+$34.5
Spread: Warriors (-11.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$11.76
Hornets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+58.7%+$30.3
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$110.58
All 5 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-50%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 15, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-28%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Sep 29, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: MIBR vs DRXbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+53.3%+$88.68
Valorant: PRX vs Team Heretics backed PRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$25.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Sep 15, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2025-09-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$28.97
Will Çaykur Rizespor vs. Gençlerbirliği SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$121.16
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$2,399Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,399.15
NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fever vs. Acesbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Dream vs. Feverbacked Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.23
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Europe win the 2025 Ryder Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$533Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$312.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Oct 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick75cpaid+34.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy win on 2025-10-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+34.2%+$51
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Sep 13, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple's iPhone 17 Pro cost more than $1000 when it launches?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$14.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LDU de Quito vs. São Paulo FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.48
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.