TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Rangers vs. Canadiens

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rangersof Rangers, Canadiens
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$610,653
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$615,271

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $610,653 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 800 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xed88…f3c4backed Rangers46c178,541$82,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95,561.129340.9%38 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b3d…7422backed Canadiens54c134,661$73,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73,071.0614057.9%81 W · 59 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc29a…7816backed Canadiens54c56,020$30,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,050.718240.2%33 W · 49 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Rangers45c51,304$23,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,020.3740550.9%206 W · 199 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Rangers46c44,444$20,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,999.764944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Rangers47c40,315$19,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,244.741246.4%191 W · 221 L-24.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Rangers48c39,389$18,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,496.961,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Canadiens54c37,745$20,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,354.857453.8%309 W · 265 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x145c…43bcbacked Canadiens54c34,177$18,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,455.543148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Canadiens53c26,000$13,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,699.9936242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Canadiens51c13,018$6,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,638.9324945.4%113 W · 136 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Canadiens53c12,000$6,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,3801,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Canadiens54c11,226$6,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,062.1615646.2%72 W · 84 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e6f…ffaabacked Rangers48c10,400$4,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,40811947.9%57 W · 62 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Rangers46c10,000$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,40056649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Canadiens53c8,999$4,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,727.2370547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens52c7,295$3,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,793.381,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Rangers47c6,584$3,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,494.2530848.4%149 W · 159 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Canadiens54c6,000$3,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,24089547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Canadiens53c5,660$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x540c…a634backed Canadiens54c4,722$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5504242.9%18 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc210…f0cabacked Rangers47c4,681$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,480.853246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c09…c9b4backed Canadiens52c3,950$2,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,038.643557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Rangers46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,62014253.5%76 W · 66 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6dd6…1dddbacked Rangers50c2,600$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3002100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7797…0637backed Canadiens50c2,600$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x08a4…5c3fbacked Canadiens52c2,567$1,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,334.8230551.5%157 W · 148 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Rangers49c2,500$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,27531654.7%173 W · 143 L+14.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Canadiens54c2,325$1,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,253.4637847.4%179 W · 199 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93b4…2486backed Canadiens78c2,101$1,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,638.21250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Canadiens12c2,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24029412.9%38 W · 256 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+45.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rangers66c1,801$1,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.761,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rangers46c1,571$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.151,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96e1…50aabacked Rangers32c1,564$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.3210565.7%69 W · 36 L+15.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+35.6%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed Rangers46c1,500$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81025446.5%118 W · 136 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ac9…9678backed Canadiens53c1,500$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7954847.9%23 W · 25 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Rangers48c1,500$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.4663249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Canadiens53c1,303$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.952,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b34…a79abacked Rangers46c1,200$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+46%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6421…5ba3backed Rangers46c1,200$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.982100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Rangers46c1,145$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.2587447%411 W · 463 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked Rangers22c1,121$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.527149.3%35 W · 36 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Rangers49c1,091$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.5710448.1%50 W · 54 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Rangers47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53025447.2%120 W · 134 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ea8…ddc0backed Rangers49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5106341.3%26 W · 37 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-21.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Rangers48c1,000$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52554349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ea9…e3c0backed Rangers46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5405240.4%21 W · 31 L-5.3wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-23%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7245…f1c3backed Rangers50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+31.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Canadiens55c917.27$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-36.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Rangers47c811.36$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.2862249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabd4…8b85backed Canadiens13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-67.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f45…7e6ebacked Canadiens53c750$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Canadiens59c741.07$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.7770249%344 W · 358 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rangers61c735.5$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.153,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8525…bdbabacked Canadiens9c700$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637839.7%31 W · 47 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd547…8a9fbacked Rangers80c625.89$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.891471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x63ed…92bebacked Rangers46c616.94$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.554141.5%17 W · 24 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Canadiens53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31868449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked Rangers48c600$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3125040%20 W · 30 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Canadiens54c543$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.221,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Canadiens37c540.31$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.5989636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Canadiens54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27019548.2%94 W · 101 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6dc…a05cbacked Canadiens53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Rangers47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26551044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb175…1068backed Canadiens53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a64…ce4abacked Canadiens53c450$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+31%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Rangers48c436.28$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.6158841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Rangers48c435$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.21,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3b…e349backed Rangers47c429.79$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.791070%7 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+46.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe4b1…a75ebacked Rangers31c403.28$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.282941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Canadiens52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20818750.3%94 W · 93 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Rangers18c347.64$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.0720137.8%76 W · 125 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x56f6…9f57backed Rangers36c325$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.7333848.8%165 W · 173 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41ef…7db1backed Rangers48c316.08$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.361442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Canadiens51c313.37$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.1574951.8%388 W · 361 L+18.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8480…293ebacked Rangers48c286$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.722941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56bb…8e6bbacked Canadiens73c268.46$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.681553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Rangers27c258.85$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.951,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Canadiens11c233.28$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7920947.4%99 W · 110 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc5ea…2b21backed Canadiens54c212.67$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.84714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.38per pick52cpaid-68.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaf57…6dffbacked Rangers47c212.47$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.615058%29 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Rangers25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15020345.3%92 W · 111 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1b0…0197backed Rangers48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1043458.8%20 W · 14 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+27.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb454…5193backed Canadiens52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1043450%17 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8194…22adbacked Rangers48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1043938.5%15 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9aa5…f03cbacked Rangers48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1044060%24 W · 16 L+5.2wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+28.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4b6e…5f91backed Canadiens52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1043237.5%12 W · 20 L-5.0wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-30.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x117d…7010backed Canadiens52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1043138.7%12 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-29.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3647…b903backed Rangers48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1043644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4688…af37backed Rangers48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1043259.4%19 W · 13 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb1b6…6595backed Canadiens52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1043354.5%18 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc822…d1bfbacked Canadiens52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1043345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fa1…b885backed Canadiens52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1043243.8%14 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf4f3…a721backed Canadiens52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1043046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7767…c984backed Canadiens52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1042853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49af…c3eabacked Canadiens52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1043243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ddb…07d2backed Canadiens52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1042759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x46e0…d02ebacked Rangers48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1043441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0039…3576backed Canadiens52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1043151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0622…8f43backed Rangers48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1043357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.