TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6f3b…e349

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
60
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: NHL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 57 out of 100; worst MLB at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+46.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Flamesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+93.5%+$373.82
Red Wings vs. Sabresbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Devils vs. Maple Leafsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$167.57
Oilers vs. Red Wingsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$91.12
Canucks vs. Capitalsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$138.1
Lightning vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+85.9%+$214.71
Lightning vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$192.16
Rangers vs. Canadiensbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$227.79
Canucks vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Lightning vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$611Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$843.76
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT825%2 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.35per pick47cpaid-76.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+41.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hornets vs. 76ersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,909Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,909
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$582Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+64.3%+$374.23
Spurs vs. Mavericksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$552.38
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$150.88
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$86.39
Thunder vs. Mavericksbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Nuggets vs. Raptorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
All 7 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Oct 14, 2025, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-38.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+136.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 Six Kings Slam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+100%+$400
European Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+173.7%+$1,215.71
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OGC Nice vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.66
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$167
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 7, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)backed Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Chiefs vs. Jaguarsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$193
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$690Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$690
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid vs. Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$3,001Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,000.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$6,009Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$6,009.14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.