NHL · resolved market
Canucks vs. Capitals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x495963be6fbd1011311512f3df67a80416898603152c15c9f31caeae608681e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canucksof Canucks, Capitals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $159,631
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $165,814
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,631 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc29a…7816backed Capitals | 58c | 22,505$13,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,127.93 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Canucks | 42c | 14,760$6,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,560.68 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Canucks | 61c | 13,128$7,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,175.35 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Capitals | 42c | 12,000$5,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,040 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +66%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Canucks | 41c | 8,995$3,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,307.05 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Capitals | 58c | 8,500$4,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,930 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Canucks | 40c | 8,243$3,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,946 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Canucks | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.91 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Canucks | 79c | 4,597$3,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Capitals | 6c | 4,588$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.3 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Canucks | 40c | 4,315$1,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,587.8 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Capitals | 24c | 3,843$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.65 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee1c…54debacked Capitals | 60c | 3,791$2,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,274.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…60a3backed Canucks | 40c | 3,791$1,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,274.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Capitals | 59c | 3,715$2,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,191.56 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Capitals | 5c | 3,462$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.13 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Canucks | 42c | 3,108$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,813.72 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Capitals | 59c | 2,982$1,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759.38 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa833…2820backed Capitals | 60c | 2,790$1,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,673.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8015…fc83backed Canucks | 40c | 2,790$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,673.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Capitals | 6c | 2,670$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.08 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03e1…2f63backed Canucks | 50c | 2,650$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x155a…a281backed Capitals | 50c | 2,650$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Canucks | 41c | 2,500$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b08…6b44backed Capitals | 60c | 2,450$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3113…4b67backed Canucks | 40c | 2,450$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0323…a5bebacked Capitals | 60c | 2,439$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec28…20a9backed Canucks | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Canucks | 40c | 2,431$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.43 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d73…0a6dbacked Canucks | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e9…31bfbacked Capitals | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Canucks | 42c | 2,380$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.39 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Capitals | 58c | 2,130$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.83 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9785backed Canucks | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…fa00backed Capitals | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Capitals | 48c | 1,840$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.95 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Capitals | 62c | 1,419$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.01 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Capitals | 1c | 1,325$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 145 | 8.3%12 W · 133 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Canucks | 38c | 1,254$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.78 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Capitals | 7c | 1,177$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.02 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd7…51fcbacked Capitals | 5c | 1,159$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dc…6e8fbacked Canucks | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd010…de7dbacked Capitals | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Capitals | 3c | 999.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Capitals | 59c | 950$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9195…72a4backed Capitals | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Capitals | 58c | 750$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Capitals | 59c | 680.88$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.72 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Capitals | 12c | 675.92$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.11 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Canucks | 39c | 628.03$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.1 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Capitals | 16c | 564.68$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.71 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Capitals | 59c | 554.96$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.43 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Capitals | 59c | 540.14$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.68 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0971…83abbacked Capitals | 9c | 526.62$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.81 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Capitals | 59c | 514$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.4 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Canucks | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Capitals | 18c | 479.68$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.65 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Capitals | 43c | 423.26$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd14c…c9f0backed Capitals | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Canucks | 42c | 392.16$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.45 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Capitals | 7c | 380.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…a062backed Capitals | 5c | 380$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Capitals | 8c | 379.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.47 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Capitals | 60c | 331$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.6 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e22…224bbacked Capitals | 60c | 325$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…c3a7backed Canucks | 41c | 324.71$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Capitals | 61c | 322.23$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.56 | 451 | 49.4%223 W · 228 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05eb…fe56backed Canucks | 41c | 317.07$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Canucks | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Capitals | 7c | 299.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Capitals | 61c | 295.08$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -15.6wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Canucks | 40c | 288.67$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.66 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1438…ad36backed Capitals | 60c | 268.33$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4909…34f7backed Canucks | 41c | 268.29$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Capitals | 60c | 266.67$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…ee5abacked Canucks | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -8.0wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x230b…06f4backed Canucks | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf140…8d3bbacked Capitals | 60c | 243.33$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Canucks | 59c | 242.37$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.37 | 203 | 45.3%92 W · 111 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…e349backed Canucks | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed Capitals | 59c | 224.8$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.63 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Canucks | 41c | 221.95$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.95 | 178 | 41%73 W · 105 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6b…5209backed Capitals | 61c | 213.11$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc6…fd39backed Capitals | 60c | 200.33$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d33…5ed2backed Canucks | 41c | 200.24$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0428…b0d5backed Canucks | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Canucks | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 439 | 44.6%196 W · 243 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4679…bb5ebacked Capitals | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Canucks | 40c | 199.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…faa8backed Canucks | 41c | 199.98$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.99 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd54…0eafbacked Capitals | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…928dbacked Capitals | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.9wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9c…b949backed Capitals | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80f6…c28dbacked Capitals | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked Capitals | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Capitals | 60c | 163$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.8 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb840…9989backed Canucks | 41c | 160.98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.98 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7adc…7603backed Canucks | 41c | 160.98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.98 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7167…9202backed Canucks | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc6…4b85backed Capitals | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canucks vs. Capitalsthis page
- Canucks vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.