Champions League · resolved market
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5360ce1c34586ac2157d4a2fe490c967be42e4ec66d2a0d0bfdf74a2a4ecd765
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $260,908
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $253,151
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $260,908 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 352 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 37,821$25,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,523.27 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 34c | 32,101$10,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,835.95 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 69c | 28,331$19,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,880.93 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 45c | 18,828$8,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,470.98 | 161 | 36%58 W · 103 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 51c | 16,449$8,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,060.08 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 68c | 12,524$8,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,053.07 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Yes | 31c | 11,923$3,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,709.75 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 69c | 8,769$6,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,730.57 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 69c | 7,000$4,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,140 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff5…5b91backed Yes | 31c | 6,439$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4d…090abacked Yes | 31c | 6,400$1,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,984 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…d32abacked Yes | 33c | 6,150$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 33c | 6,107$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 68c | 5,860$3,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,895.4 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ef…5232backed Yes | 31c | 5,787$1,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,794 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed No | 69c | 5,640$3,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,748.39 | 142 | 35.2%50 W · 92 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 68c | 4,315$2,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.64 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…6865backed Yes | 54c | 4,241$2,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,308.12 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc876…faa5backed Yes | 57c | 4,075$2,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,342.11 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 57c | 3,844$2,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645.25 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 67c | 3,592$2,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.24 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 45c | 3,208$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,763.7 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 32c | 3,125$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 33c | 3,030$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.98 | 181 | 60.8%110 W · 71 L | +18.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 32c | 2,982$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.58 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 32c | 2,810$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.05 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 30c | 2,014$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.12 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 67c | 1,986$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.38 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 32c | 1,966$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.19 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…f261backed Yes | 31c | 1,935$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 41c | 1,827$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.89 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Yes | 32c | 1,774$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.72 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 68c | 1,754$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.28 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 45c | 1,748$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.4 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…edb3backed Yes | 31c | 1,725$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…e349backed Yes | 31c | 1,719$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 42c | 1,677$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.19 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbed…5194backed Yes | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…505abacked Yes | 30c | 1,560$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7900…c1e9backed Yes | 31c | 1,535$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75a6…510dbacked No | 70c | 1,534$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 25c | 1,526$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.75 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…fb8ebacked Yes | 33c | 1,514$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 69c | 1,350$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.5 | 106 | 60.4%64 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 65c | 1,253$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.74 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 69c | 1,246$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.78 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 30c | 1,200$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 30c | 1,081$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.89 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Yes | 31c | 1,059$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.7 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked No | 71c | 1,050$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.13 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 29c | 1,022$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.49 | 203 | 43.3%88 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69a7…ef6bbacked No | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…26b6backed Yes | 31c | 970$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed2…e7ccbacked Yes | 31c | 946$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Yes | 32c | 940.06$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.82 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes | 32c | 937.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 69c | 843.97$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.47 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 30c | 829.44$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.83 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…140ebacked Yes | 31c | 806.45$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 32c | 781.25$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 201 | 33.8%68 W · 133 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20eb…0bddbacked Yes | 32c | 781.25$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb29c…8f19backed Yes | 32c | 750$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 67c | 743.71$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.45 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 67c | 712.58$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.15 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 31c | 710.07$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.45 | 264 | 43.9%116 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked Yes | 39c | 681.13$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.64 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8081…ae28backed Yes | 45c | 680.76$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.73 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…f478backed Yes | 32c | 650.71$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 68c | 647.65$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.04 | 240 | 47.1%113 W · 127 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 122 | 30.3%37 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0041…6bc3backed Yes | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 69c | 600$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 197 | 55.3%109 W · 88 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 50c | 599.98$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.7 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…b13abacked Yes | 38c | 587.14$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.94 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 77c | 569$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.59 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a6…4bd3backed Yes | 31c | 568.55$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.25 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…c2b8backed Yes | 8c | 522$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +210.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44c4…501bbacked Yes | 56c | 500$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked Yes | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 66c | 500$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.4 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8b…1743backed Yes | 32c | 499.98$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.99 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed No | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc74…216cbacked Yes | 41c | 490.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 31c | 485.26$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Yes | 31c | 483.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…ce71backed Yes | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 32c | 437.5$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Yes | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…2d49backed Yes | 47c | 414.91$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bf…5bf0backed Yes | 32c | 405.41$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Yes | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 183 | 34.4%63 W · 120 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f91…9388backed Yes | 31c | 392.55$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.69 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked No | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf31…2931backed No | 70c | 370.37$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.11 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -5.4wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes | 30c | 355.17$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.55 | 111 | 32.4%36 W · 75 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c2…51f9backed Yes | 60c | 348.21$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-22?this page
- Will Sporting CP vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?No won
- Will Sporting CP win on 2025-10-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.