TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0ed2…e7cc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
52
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DEL: Iserlohn Roosters vs. Adler Mannheimbacked Adler Mannheim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,040Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+51.5%+$535.7
Avalanche vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$522Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+203%+$1,060.63
Golden Knights vs. Oilersbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.82
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$27.44
Lightning vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.88
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$27.25
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.25
Canadiens vs. Canucksbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$26.67
Senators vs. Capitalsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$62.25
Golden Knights vs. Kingsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST-100%-$22.25
Wild vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$27.8
Flyers vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+89.1%+$20.86
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,057Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+53.8%+$569.27
Trail Blazers vs. Raptorsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$527Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$527
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.57
Wizards vs. 76ersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$28.57
Rockets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.2
Suns vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST+73.6%+$19.86
Pacers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$21.2
Rockets vs. Kingsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$21.1
Timberwolves vs. Magicbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2025, EST+75.4%+$19.7
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST+75.4%+$18.01
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+51.5%+$15.97
Magic vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2024, EST-100%-$15.38
Lakers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$17.15
All 13 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Guardians vs. Twinsbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+100%+$22.51
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.2
Blue Jays vs. Guardiansbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT+94.8%+$22.33
Mets vs. Bravesbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.88
Pirates vs. Cubsbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$24.14
Red Sox vs. Brewersbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
All 6 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+59.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UNLV Runnin' vs. Ohiobacked Ohio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$423Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+244.8%+$1,035.18
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Utah Statebacked Nevada Wolf Pack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$365.5
Marshall vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleersbacked Marshall · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,023Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,023.27
Louisiana Tech vs. Kennesaw Statebacked Kennesaw State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$527Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$1,023
All 4 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+37.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+108.3%+$24.29
Texans vs. Titansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+104.1%+$23.26
Buccaneers vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$13.45
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Levante UD win on 2025-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,049Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$349.75
Will Valencia vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,040Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+37%+$384.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Mineiro vs. Fortaleza EC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+284.6%+$1,095.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Karmine Corp GC vs Shopify Rebellion Gold (BO3)backed Karmine Corp GC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$370.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NEOM SC win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$439.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$293.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$515Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$515.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Sep 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2025-09-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$505Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$504.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$739Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$739.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alicante: Sebastian Ofner vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Sebastian Ofner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,056Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,055.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.