NHL · resolved market
Lightning vs. Panthers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc11e633ff098a92677de0470ce9975226e0664944f3fa205e87b581a84a6cb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lightningof Lightning, Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $212,742
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $219,393
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $212,742 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 230 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Lightning | 44c | 32,638$14,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,303.92 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Panthers | 55c | 18,709$10,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,350.43 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Lightning | 44c | 16,000$7,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,959.85 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Lightning | 47c | 12,078$5,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,432.41 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Panthers | 54c | 11,920$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,400.13 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Panthers | 53c | 11,900$6,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,334.95 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Panthers | 51c | 11,030$5,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,589 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Panthers | 56c | 10,426$5,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,829.37 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Panthers | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Panthers | 56c | 6,557$3,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,671.65 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Lightning | 53c | 4,518$2,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119.42 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cca…4350backed Panthers | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Lightning | 65c | 3,250$2,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.61 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Panthers | 57c | 3,178$1,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,816.33 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…13b6backed Panthers | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Panthers | 52c | 2,858$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +6.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c93…d494backed Lightning | 45c | 2,358$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.77 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Lightning | 31c | 2,168$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.17 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Panthers | 26c | 2,099$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.41 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Lightning | 43c | 2,070$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.19 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Lightning | 45c | 2,035$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.43 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb63d…9dd6backed Panthers | 55c | 2,013$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.15 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +5.0wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Panthers | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…2485backed Lightning | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Lightning | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf586…f614backed Panthers | 44c | 1,968$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.13 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Lightning | 44c | 1,905$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.78 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb8…af02backed Lightning | 46c | 1,685$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.78 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Lightning | 67c | 1,435$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.93 | 265 | 47.5%126 W · 139 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Panthers | 8c | 1,243$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.47 | 84 | 25%21 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Panthers | 32c | 1,227$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.9 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Panthers | 55c | 1,184$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.2 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba7c…a3cbbacked Lightning | 45c | 1,137$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Panthers | 62c | 1,100$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Panthers | 43c | 1,065$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.75 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Panthers | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Panthers | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Lightning | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Panthers | 56c | 999.96$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.98 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Panthers | 54c | 999.95$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.97 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Panthers | 56c | 950.29$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.73 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Panthers | 55c | 909.95$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.47 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Lightning | 70c | 835.08$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.53 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Panthers | 57c | 832.99$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.23 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…bcb9backed Lightning | 45c | 798.91$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -45%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd180…0989backed Panthers | 56c | 796.93$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.28 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf25d…1134backed Lightning | 45c | 775.59$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.57 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.1wins | +0.41per pick | 49cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bb…fc2abacked Panthers | 39c | 765.89$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Panthers | 55c | 758$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.9 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed Lightning | 44c | 734.19$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.86 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Panthers | 45c | 670.07$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.76 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f84…560fbacked Lightning | 44c | 625$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6db3…3772backed Panthers | 56c | 624.98$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Lightning | 44c | 611.01$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.91 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Lightning | 45c | 580$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Panthers | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Panthers | 56c | 575.93$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.52 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87d3…7170backed Lightning | 72c | 560$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Lightning | 68c | 555$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.6 | 133 | 63.2%84 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6571…9827backed Lightning | 45c | 520$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x113e…3febbacked Panthers | 55c | 520$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Lightning | 50c | 507$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.63 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Lightning | 57c | 420.91$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.34 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Lightning | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa47b…bae9backed Lightning | 49c | 399.99$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc430…3c45backed Panthers | 55c | 392.22$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Panthers | 11c | 366.9$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 140 | 12.9%18 W · 122 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23f9…37b7backed Lightning | 71c | 360$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…581abacked Panthers | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Lightning | 45c | 314.8$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.14 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Lightning | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Panthers | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe199…56a2backed Panthers | 48c | 278.57$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Panthers | 56c | 278.57$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Lightning | 69c | 226.43$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.19 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc96d…7d43backed Lightning | 46c | 217.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.88 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Lightning | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…f075backed Panthers | 58c | 215$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Panthers | 43c | 214.11$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Lightning | 37c | 211.07$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.71 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Lightning | 47c | 210.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.98 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Lightning | 42c | 208.77$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.2 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Panthers | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…32eebacked Lightning | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Panthers | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb608…ebdfbacked Panthers | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 58 | 20.7%12 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Panthers | 61c | 194.18$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.45 | 201 | 37.8%76 W · 125 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…f2afbacked Lightning | 45c | 192.92$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.61 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Lightning | 45c | 191.72$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.48 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Lightning | 44c | 177.71$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.52 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Panthers | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Panthers | 57c | 174.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 124 | 62.9%78 W · 46 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Lightning | 47c | 169.02$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.02 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…c971backed Lightning | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Panthers | 58c | 161$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.38 | 212 | 55.7%118 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeee…ccb7backed Lightning | 46c | 152.17$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.17 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +7.5wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9e…547dbacked Panthers | 56c | 150$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f4…0336backed Panthers | 57c | 148.71$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.46 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdad8…00f7backed Panthers | 57c | 146.69$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.7 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…a896backed Lightning | 45c | 136.51$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.