TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeeee…ccb7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
178
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NHL, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 61 out of 100; worst Middle East at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2025, EDT6852.9%36 W · 32 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Diamondbacks vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+100%+$70
Diamondbacks vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.38
Royals vs. Astrosbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+100%+$70
Pirates vs. Metsbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.13
Red Sox vs. Tigersbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$98.6
Red Sox vs. Royalsbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$122.65
Cubs vs. Metsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.38
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$75.83
Red Sox vs. Royalsbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$72.86
Phillies vs. Guardiansbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$57.27
Brewers vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
Phillies vs. Guardiansbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.2
Rangers vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$62.51
Mets vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+100%+$105.08
Astros vs. Brewersbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$88
Phillies vs. Raysbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$64.8
Padres vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$67.25
Mets vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Diamondbacks vs. Philliesbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$82.17
Guardians vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+100%+$70.01
Padres vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Dodgers vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$89.25
Mariners vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT5160.8%31 W · 20 L+7.5wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+32.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
NHL — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.08
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$166.29
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$125.92
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$72.86
Jets vs. Starsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.38
Jets vs. Starsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.09
Golden Knights vs. Oilersbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$151.67
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$62.5
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$164.35
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$85.56
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$57.27
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$82.08
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$88.04
Jets vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$59.79
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$165.21
Lightning vs. Panthersbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$82.17
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT+107.5%+$75.25
Jets vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$75.83
Golden Knights vs. Wildbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$72.86
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Wild vs. Golden Knightsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$135.96
Panthers vs. Lightningbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$75.83
Senators vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$54.84
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritzbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$40.86
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$334.32
Will Matteo Berrettini win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+111.8%+$352.14
Huzhou: Xiaodi You vs Jiajing Lubacked Jiajing Lu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,066Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$271.89
Madrid Open: Ann Li vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$197.6
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Djokovic backed Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,766Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,766.03
Wimbledon: Sabalenka vs. Anisimova (W) backed Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,078Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,078.35
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Shelton backed Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$346.9
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs. Casper Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.5
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Carlos Alcaraz vs. Jack Draper backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$467Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+37%+$172.69
Miami Open: Cerundolo vs Dimitrovbacked Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$249.84
Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$691Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$690.7
Australian Open: Alcaraz vs. Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+170.3%+$155.19
All 14 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.4
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$59.76
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.77
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$379Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$378.77
Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.74
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$133.33
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.7
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$739Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$298.8
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$147.74
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$732Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$298.99
Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.51
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$142
All 14 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid-19.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2024, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Chess — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+44.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2024, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+108%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,477Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$2,039.86
Arsenal wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$259.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.08
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.