MLB · resolved market
Mariners vs. Rangers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d47bd289b422714b8507d386e25e491d46a9d08ea02f97c49d730213a798ec8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marinersof Mariners, Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,341
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,535
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,341 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Mariners | 56c | 20,807$11,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,154.87 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Rangers | 44c | 11,610$5,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,108.4 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Rangers | 44c | 5,343$2,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,376.07 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Rangers | 45c | 4,795$2,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,137.08 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Mariners | 55c | 3,073$1,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.17 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mariners | 54c | 3,047$1,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.61 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Rangers | 47c | 2,728$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.12 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Rangers | 44c | 2,713$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.79 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rangers | 47c | 2,203$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.52 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Rangers | 57c | 1,723$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.49 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…af0abacked Rangers | 55c | 1,399$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.82 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Rangers | 44c | 1,091$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.63 | 235 | 45.5%107 W · 128 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Mariners | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Mariners | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rangers | 35c | 933.96$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.36 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Mariners | 54c | 929.65$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.18 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rangers | 45c | 714.53$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.89 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Mariners | 80c | 698.94$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.16 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Rangers | 32c | 629.99$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Rangers | 47c | 427$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.69 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Mariners | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed Rangers | 44c | 274.99$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mariners | 76c | 218$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.16 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed Rangers | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -5.8wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Mariners | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Mariners | 52c | 190.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.57 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Mariners | 50c | 190.19$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.19 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…f0c8backed Mariners | 55c | 182$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Mariners | 53c | 182$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.54 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mariners | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mariners | 56c | 179.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.3 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeee…ccb7backed Rangers | 47c | 148.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Mariners | 44c | 142.08$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.08 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Rangers | 35c | 113.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.74 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8181…92b8backed Rangers | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Mariners | 49c | 103.14$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.6 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Mariners | 67c | 97.76$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.26 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Rangers | 49c | 90.51$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…3668backed Mariners | 67c | 86.36$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c88…5685backed Mariners | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x117a…02ffbacked Mariners | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1af…d23bbacked Mariners | 56c | 64$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Mariners | 54c | 59.68$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x235a…2e57backed Rangers | 44c | 52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Mariners | 55c | 51.09$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Rangers | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Mariners | 49c | 48.39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.68 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mariners | 55c | 47.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6f…0142backed Mariners | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…73c3backed Rangers | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69a8…fb9dbacked Mariners | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.29per pick | 48cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Mariners | 41c | 32.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…91e9backed Mariners | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Rangers | 44c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…fec6backed Mariners | 56c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Mariners | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…9931backed Mariners | 65c | 15.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.