TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd10a…91e9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
484
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst MLB at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT26059.6%155 W · 105 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 260 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.03
Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Predators vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.2
Lightning vs. Wild: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$8.2
Blackhawks vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Oilers vs. Kings: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+56.3%+$9
Penguins vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9
Canadiens vs. Jets: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.4
Bruins vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+96.1%+$9.8
Blackhawks vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.6
Canadiens vs. Wild: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$9.8
Maple Leafs vs. Canucksbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+69.5%+$8.2
Capitals vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Jets vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+56.3%+$7.2
Avalanche vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.4
Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+75.4%+$8.6
Bruins vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+96.1%+$9.8
Rangers vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Capitals vs. Predatorsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Blue Jackets vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Flames vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Rangers vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+85.2%+$9.2
Canucks vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+69.5%+$10.25
Flames vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+78.6%+$11
Maple Leafs vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+81.8%+$9
Showing 25 of 260 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT11953.8%64 W · 55 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 119 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.32
Twins vs. Royalsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.3
Phillies vs. Marlinsbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
Brewers vs. Piratesbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$21.5
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.8
Guardians vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.3
Yankees vs. Astrosbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$15.05
Mets vs. Tigers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.6
Yankees vs. Astrosbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.25
Giants vs. Rockiesbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$13.86
Rangers vs. Athleticsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$14.19
Rays vs. Nationalsbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$14.19
Red Sox vs. Oriolesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$12.9
Padres vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$12.6
Pirates vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.2
Royals vs. Tigersbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.36
Reds vs. Diamondbacksbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.75
Astros vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+100%+$15
Reds vs. Angelsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$13.2
Mariners vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$14.4
Blue Jays vs. Piratesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Tigers vs. Twinsbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$15.3
Brewers vs. Redsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$14.1
Rangers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+100%+$15
Mets vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$14.88
Showing 25 of 119 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST7862.8%49 W · 29 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 78 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Magic (-2.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+75.4%+$10.75
Hawks vs. Spursbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$10.4
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$17.4
Jazz vs. Lakers: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$10.4
Clippers vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+81.8%+$9
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+81.8%+$13.5
Spread: Trail Blazers (-6.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+72.4%+$12.6
Suns vs. Mavericksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+78.6%+$13.2
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+75.4%+$12.07
Spread: Magic (-2.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Lakers (-4.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$16.8
Kings vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Heat vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
Warriors vs. Bucksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.7
Kings vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+129.2%+$31
Rockets vs. Raptorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$12
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$21.5
Spread: Warriors (-2.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.2
Showing 25 of 78 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$20.4
Will Bayern Munich vs. Inter end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1. FC Union Berlin vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+78.6%+$8.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sevilla win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.