NHL · resolved market
Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b0699fccde179df66de91c5e4a63c4085866a3675fd1192361d0f1ff7ad4181
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,667
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,667 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 61c | 3,280$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.78 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 50c | 2,800$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 50c | 2,795$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.6 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…b408backed Under | 39c | 2,551$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,556.28 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Under | 40c | 1,949$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.86 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 62c | 580.65$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 50c | 564.88$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.18 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 60c | 541.17$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.5 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 49c | 490$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.9 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 60c | 486$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.6 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 64c | 428.47$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.33 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 39c | 400$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 18c | 205.38$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 35c | 198$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.32 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 49c | 129.05$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.5 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 38c | 100.65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cac…1695backed Under | 77c | 99.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 68c | 71.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 60c | 64$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 34c | 59.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c24…7b9abacked Over | 52c | 58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 32c | 52.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 234 | 50%117 W · 117 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 39c | 50.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Over | 61c | 41.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -12.1wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 61c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 61c | 25.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf86…b1c1backed Over | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 77c | 21.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 60c | 20.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…91e9backed Over | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 260 | 59.6%155 W · 105 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5this page
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Wild won
- Wild vs. AvalancheAvalanche won
- Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5Over won
- Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5Under won
- Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.