NHL · resolved market
Wild vs. Avalanche
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x206864a490d8ba64a05f24d2d2341772940dd3c93cfac71359afab8939988c1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avalancheof Wild, Avalanche
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,161,033
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,161,033 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,091 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Avalanche | 62c | 399,275$249,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149,824.64 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Wild | 37c | 169,650$63,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,266.5 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Wild | 38c | 168,052$63,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,859.29 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Avalanche | 62c | 122,222$75,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,444.31 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Wild | 42c | 119,809$50,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,114.5 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Wild | 37c | 40,000$14,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,800 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Wild | 38c | 38,000$14,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,439.7 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Avalanche | 52c | 31,802$16,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,265.07 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Wild | 38c | 22,086$8,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,389.27 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Avalanche | 63c | 18,711$11,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,939.16 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebbb…4214backed Avalanche | 54c | 18,386$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,385.96 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Wild | 37c | 16,277$6,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,022.33 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Avalanche | 63c | 15,000$9,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,551.15 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Avalanche | 63c | 14,958$9,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,547.37 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Avalanche | 63c | 10,700$6,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,959.09 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Wild | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,799.89 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Wild | 38c | 9,727$3,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,696.12 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Avalanche | 63c | 7,936$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,936.43 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Wild | 37c | 7,000$2,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,590 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Wild | 38c | 6,579$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wild | 39c | 6,467$2,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,517.7 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Wild | 50c | 6,288$3,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,153.08 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wild | 38c | 6,179$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320.42 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…53a1backed Wild | 38c | 5,263$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Wild | 21c | 4,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 128 | 38.3%49 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Wild | 37c | 4,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.97 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Avalanche | 49c | 3,830$1,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,962.25 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Avalanche | 49c | 3,279$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.27 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…b735backed Avalanche | 63c | 3,175$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.6 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf958…5a02backed Avalanche | 60c | 3,140$1,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Wild | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Wild | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.7 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wild | 42c | 2,919$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.71 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Wild | 37c | 2,885$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.57 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Avalanche | 65c | 2,604$1,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.04 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Avalanche | 63c | 2,500$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Wild | 20c | 2,416$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.44 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Avalanche | 61c | 2,400$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.17 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed Avalanche | 63c | 2,216$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.76 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Avalanche | 48c | 2,196$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.36 | 215 | 55.3%119 W · 96 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x950a…71e4backed Wild | 49c | 2,076$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.59 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…189dbacked Wild | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Wild | 30c | 2,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Avalanche | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wild | 57c | 1,858$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.86 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Avalanche | 54c | 1,849$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.75 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…22a0backed Wild | 1c | 1,613$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 4cpaid | +1,341.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3191…0665backed Avalanche | 49c | 1,574$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.97 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…1173backed Avalanche | 63c | 1,410$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.07 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Avalanche | 62c | 1,400$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.72 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…9a62backed Wild | 38c | 1,374$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.04 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Wild | 49c | 1,252$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Avalanche | 68c | 1,227$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.2 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | -24.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36cf…d133backed Wild | 39c | 1,200$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb706…6d45backed Avalanche | 61c | 1,200$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde2e…4591backed Avalanche | 61c | 1,200$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b7…0233backed Wild | 39c | 1,200$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa699…decfbacked Wild | 39c | 1,200$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10d3…ad18backed Avalanche | 61c | 1,200$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7b…3a50backed Wild | 39c | 1,200$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c22…606bbacked Wild | 39c | 1,200$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…8b31backed Avalanche | 61c | 1,200$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x709f…03e3backed Avalanche | 61c | 1,200$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ec…81c2backed Wild | 38c | 1,200$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…2b65backed Avalanche | 61c | 1,195$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.05 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79f9…692bbacked Avalanche | 61c | 1,195$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.05 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…ffb8backed Wild | 39c | 1,195$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.05 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0268…5b4fbacked Avalanche | 61c | 1,195$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.05 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…0fefbacked Avalanche | 61c | 1,195$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.05 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ec…0d12backed Wild | 39c | 1,195$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.05 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4605…d0babacked Wild | 39c | 1,195$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.05 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c33…f0f3backed Wild | 39c | 1,195$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.05 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd93f…95ffbacked Wild | 39c | 1,190$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.1 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…d2d7backed Avalanche | 61c | 1,190$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.1 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x78eb…bfb4backed Avalanche | 61c | 1,185$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74bd…d6cebacked Wild | 39c | 1,185$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4da6…82c7backed Wild | 39c | 1,185$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.15 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 46cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb617…dfeabacked Avalanche | 61c | 1,185$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.15 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…874abacked Wild | 39c | 1,185$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.15 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9426…c3b0backed Wild | 39c | 1,185$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.15 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59b1…1942backed Wild | 39c | 1,185$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…0d05backed Wild | 39c | 1,185$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8087…ba3dbacked Avalanche | 61c | 1,185$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b32…67d9backed Wild | 39c | 1,185$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.15 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.33per pick | 49cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae7…4ee1backed Avalanche | 61c | 1,185$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a09…8672backed Wild | 39c | 1,185$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c4…d4b4backed Avalanche | 61c | 1,185$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51a1…70d6backed Avalanche | 61c | 1,185$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…d4d9backed Wild | 39c | 1,185$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.15 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1dc…5a32backed Avalanche | 61c | 1,185$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.15 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc288…c85ebacked Avalanche | 61c | 1,185$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c00…427ebacked Avalanche | 61c | 1,185$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98a4…5332backed Avalanche | 61c | 1,180$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf72…3da8backed Wild | 39c | 1,180$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.2 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb647…8e34backed Wild | 39c | 1,180$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6275…8ad9backed Avalanche | 61c | 1,180$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc12e…cd43backed Avalanche | 61c | 1,180$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce19…da46backed Wild | 39c | 1,180$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c04…aa40backed Wild | 39c | 1,180$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…e1d9backed Avalanche | 61c | 1,180$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wild vs. Avalanchethis page
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Wild won
- Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5Over won
- Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5Under won
- Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5Under won
- Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.