NHL · resolved market
Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9980deac58bf8fa236f77b20b3c87acd5c6021650cb57a322d67311126aede25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,238
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,238 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Over | 50c | 29,888$14,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,938.81 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 50c | 19,633$9,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,816.71 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c34…e260backed Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d5…ec7cbacked Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d8f…2999backed Under | 51c | 7,876$4,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,859.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a08…f99ebacked Over | 49c | 5,522$2,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,705.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 49c | 4,600$2,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,254 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcf…dff4backed Over | 49c | 4,152$2,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,034.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 50c | 4,015$2,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998.99 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Under | 51c | 2,695$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.55 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d1…0139backed Under | 51c | 2,674$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9726…892ebacked Over | 49c | 2,482$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee9f…b134backed Over | 49c | 2,294$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdc…2454backed Over | 49c | 2,059$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44fc…7961backed Over | 49c | 2,044$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4958…a146backed Under | 51c | 2,025$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…a6b0backed Under | 51c | 2,007$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…ad46backed Under | 51c | 1,994$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 50c | 1,985$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.56 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c26…69c2backed Under | 51c | 1,979$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Under | 53c | 1,512$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.17 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Over | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 50c | 1,010$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.9 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 50c | 922.72$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.36 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 916.07$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.24 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Under | 51c | 811.23$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.5 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 51c | 800$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Over | 50c | 734.2$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.07 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 48c | 468.61$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.6 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…d75abacked Under | 51c | 453$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e49…fb01backed Under | 52c | 384.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.9 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Under | 51c | 378$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.22 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Under | 52c | 336.54$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x672a…abb7backed Over | 51c | 295.42$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…737ebacked Under | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 48c | 234.91$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.76 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 49c | 229.19$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.88 | 215 | 55.3%119 W · 96 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 152 | 57.2%87 W · 65 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 49c | 204.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Under | 51c | 202.04$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 50c | 201.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 52c | 193.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.19 | 221 | 51.1%113 W · 108 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f1…d7c3backed Under | 52c | 190$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…2930backed Under | 52c | 160$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 50c | 154.03$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.73 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc6…e81ebacked Under | 52c | 148$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 52c | 121.03$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.28 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dd…ad7bbacked Under | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.84 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Over | 50c | 101$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…ea8ebacked Under | 50c | 78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…e738backed Over | 50c | 78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Under | 52c | 77.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.15 | 211 | 58.8%124 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Under | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 432 | 56.5%244 W · 188 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 52c | 52.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed Under | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabae…d62dbacked Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 50c | 40.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Under | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 227 | 59.5%135 W · 92 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9867…bc76backed Under | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8755…e152backed Under | 52c | 39.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -13.7wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6b91…492ebacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4c…394abacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Under | 51c | 36.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Over | 49c | 29.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a00…56c6backed Over | 50c | 25.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 49c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Under | 50c | 21.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 208 | 57.7%120 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1c…1f45backed Under | 51c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 52c | 19.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5this page
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Wild won
- Wild vs. AvalancheAvalanche won
- Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5Over won
- Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5Under won
- Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.