TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9a00…56c6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
77
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Champions League, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 61 out of 100; worst Premier League at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT2962.1%18 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kigali 2: Marco Cecchinato vs Arthur Geabacked Arthur Gea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.19
Kigali 2: Stefano Napolitano vs Arthur Geabacked Arthur Gea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.32
Cap Cana: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Mackenzie McDonaldbacked Miomir Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.42
BNP Paribas Open: Elina Svitolina vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.01
Kigali 2: Sean Cuenin vs Arthur Geabacked Arthur Gea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10
BNP Paribas Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.08
Cherbourg: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Remy Bertolabacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.78
Austin: Paula Badosa vs Gabriela Rusebacked Paula Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+68.9%+$8.27
BNP Paribas Open: Marton Fucsovics vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.71
BNP Paribas Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
BNP Paribas Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Talia Gibsonbacked Ekaterina Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$22
BNP Paribas Open: Varvara Gracheva vs Lilli Taggerbacked Varvara Gracheva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15
BNP Paribas Open: Diane Parry vs Venus Williamsbacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.78
BNP Paribas Open: Dino Prizmic vs Tristan Schoolkatebacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+33.3%+$4.55
Antalya 2: Berfu Cengiz vs Lucia Bronzettibacked Lucia Bronzetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+39.1%+$5.87
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Storm Hunter vs Leolia Jeanjeanbacked Leolia Jeanjean · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$22.41
Hersonissos: Lukas Neumayer vs Jacopo Vasamibacked Lukas Neumayer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+53.8%+$5.95
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elvina Kalievabacked Yulia Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$18.12
ATX Open: Rebeka Masarova vs Taylor Townsendbacked Taylor Townsend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+96.1%+$24.02
ATX Open: Kimberly Birrell vs Ajla Tomljanovicbacked Ajla Tomljanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$12.8
Mexican Open: Casper Ruud vs Yibing Wubacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10
ATX Open: Venus Williams vs Ajla Tomljanovicbacked Tomljanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+31.6%+$19.58
Dubai Tennis Championships: Alexander Shevchenko vs Karen Khachanovbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+56.1%+$59.98
Dubai Tennis Championships: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$52.77
Dubai Tennis Championships: Moez Echargui vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+82.1%+$12.32
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT12100%12 W · 0 L+3.7wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+45.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+64.8%+$38.85
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$13.54
Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.97
Atalanta BC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+48.2%+$19.26
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+35.1%+$10.54
Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+25%+$2.5
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+42.9%+$16.29
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.27
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.01
All 12 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick70cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackhawks vs. Stars: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$11.1
Lightning vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.79
Avalanche vs. Stars: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+26.7%+$22.28
Avalanche vs. Kings: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+37%+$10.4
Stars vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Flyers vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25.77
Jets vs. Sharks: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
SHL: Linkoeping vs. Malmoebacked Malmoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Maple Leafs vs. Lightning: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+25%+$5
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.9wins-0.36per pick73cpaid-53.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-51.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-2.2wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
RB Leipzig vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.63
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Deportivo Alavés vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10
Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$16.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC København vs. Randers FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+25%+$18.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.