TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

RC Celta de Vigo vs. PAOK: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,891
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,682

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,891 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under40c15,211$6,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,111.083,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over73c8,081$5,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,93138247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under27c3,806$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,796.5333349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed Over76c2,640$2,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,002.462867.9%19 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick67cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over54c1,881$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.372948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under56c1,651$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.8852243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under48c1,547$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.072,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under27c1,162$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.5391950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Over39c1,026$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.141050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under49c904.8$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.928639.5%34 W · 52 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over41c840.36$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.414351.2%22 W · 21 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+50%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over40c750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006722.4%15 W · 52 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-46.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over35c700$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2451315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xedcd…a1c7backed Over72c645.26$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.59666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Over40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-59.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-27.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bc5…a45bbacked Over74c492.64$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.552128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-48.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf63…65dfbacked Over47c430.02$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003432.4%11 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75e1…1b07backed Over71c400$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Over46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1842254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34a9…d343backed Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under57c325.49$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.2770239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xac86…b3b3backed Over72c319.44$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc554…00adbacked Under32c312.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.787753.2%41 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over64c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Over74c310.81$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2305154.9%28 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507829.5%23 W · 55 L-11.2wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-34.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x861f…a189backed Over30c299.92$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.98120%0 W · 12 L-4.7wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x9a00…56c6backed Over72c290.45$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.0330%0 W · 3 L-2.2wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over72c277.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007054.3%38 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under58c263.36$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.2363857.2%365 W · 273 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6481…b1bfbacked Over54c261.53$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x649a…02afbacked Over64c245$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.81668.8%11 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick74cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under32c233.28$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.322,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa797…0599backed Over73c205.48$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x639d…4777backed Over49c204$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over75c200.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504652.2%24 W · 22 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick63cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over75c200$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020056.5%113 W · 87 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x54e8…5e6bbacked Over56c200$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2109…55bfbacked Under62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762548%12 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe50…6eb6backed Over40c200$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3999…c2bbbacked Under29c189.66$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.663148.4%15 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f6…4892backed Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over52c183.98$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9514641.1%60 W · 86 L-14.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-17.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under26c181.81$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.5488048.2%424 W · 456 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f03…dc32backed Over60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001520%3 W · 12 L-3.8wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-44.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under42c151.05$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.046056.7%34 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7baf…99a7backed Over17c147.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251811.1%2 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…54d2backed Over46c145$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.71650%8 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under27c144.8$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.368355.4%46 W · 37 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over46c143.48$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663030%9 W · 21 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-35.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1ff2…1c10backed Over53c140$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.22343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2840…fb26backed Over72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick73cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf660…87e8backed Over73c136.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under26c136.49$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1011,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over74c135.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001877.8%14 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick71cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf035…d35fbacked Over76c131.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+28.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61e2…e9fdbacked Over46c130.89$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010941.3%45 W · 64 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Over36c112.83$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.623243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-27.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under27c106.01$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.874663%29 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed Over76c100$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761040%4 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-41.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x508b…2797backed Over68c100$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681020%2 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-63.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3a80…49bfbacked Over42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9238…b73ebacked Over25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252568%17 W · 8 L+4.9wins+0.20per pick48cpaid+32.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb992…0838backed Over73c99.99$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73771.4%5 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c7f…12d5backed Over74c99.81$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.863148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over41c97.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407536%27 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d76…90c2backed Over32c96.88$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508062.5%50 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42d6…847cbacked Over73c91.63$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed Over44c90$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72ee…a848backed Over73c90$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.36456.3%36 W · 28 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under26c76.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3816856.5%95 W · 73 L+0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over71c72.16$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2443344.6%193 W · 240 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc17…f3c4backed Over55c70$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.540%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe762…064bbacked Over26c70$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.21573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.23per pick51cpaid+44.6%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x2383…e639backed Over75c69.98$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.49944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.27per pick72cpaid-40.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over75c66.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502347.8%11 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick62cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd8d4…3691backed Over75c66.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502576%19 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick63cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under40c62.23$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2217956.4%101 W · 78 L+13.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1963…8122backed Over61c60$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.62369.6%16 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over30c60$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182748.1%13 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed Over74c57.81$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.79354.8%51 W · 42 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick61cpaid+52.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e0c…b90abacked Over26c57.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152544%11 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25ef…8e6fbacked Over54c56.85$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.98922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed Over53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304555.6%25 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bb8…7471backed Over60c54.46$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.688239%32 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed Under38c47.19$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.411947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x27cf…979abacked Under25c42.67$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322035%7 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid+25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed Over73c42.36$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.922958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over34c42.09$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.311338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc460…0aa4backed Over41c41.46$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174548.9%22 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71f6…e115backed Over37c40.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154546.7%21 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over27c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.87751.9%40 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed Over58c39.98$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.195455.6%30 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97b2…1c44backed Over50c39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.51241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5337…222bbacked Under27c38.52$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.121145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+36%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.