Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85622faa027a3733c4b164f97890332b32d78332dbbabd7363ad8c322053a703
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PAOKof RC Celta de Vigo, PAOK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,591
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,441
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,591 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed PAOK | 70c | 5,329$3,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,613.84 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed RC Celta de Vigo | 33c | 1,849$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.58 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked RC Celta de Vigo | 33c | 1,696$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.67 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a16…1050backed RC Celta de Vigo | 33c | 1,315$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed RC Celta de Vigo | 24c | 1,248$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.35 | 67 | 22.4%15 W · 52 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked PAOK | 69c | 840$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.4 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed PAOK | 67c | 800$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed RC Celta de Vigo | 34c | 367.65$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed RC Celta de Vigo | 34c | 297.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed PAOK | 68c | 289.78$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.67 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked PAOK | 71c | 273$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.05 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed RC Celta de Vigo | 28c | 192$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 212 | 43.9%93 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked RC Celta de Vigo | 31c | 185.96$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.65 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed RC Celta de Vigo | 31c | 182.2$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.48 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…dba8backed RC Celta de Vigo | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked PAOK | 69c | 123.88$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.73 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked RC Celta de Vigo | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed PAOK | 67c | 110$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked RC Celta de Vigo | 33c | 93.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed RC Celta de Vigo | 33c | 91.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6481…b1bfbacked RC Celta de Vigo | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked PAOK | 67c | 73.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed RC Celta de Vigo | 31c | 72.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed PAOK | 72c | 71.47$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed RC Celta de Vigo | 28c | 68.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 160 | 13.1%21 W · 139 L | -18.8wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -47%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed RC Celta de Vigo | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed RC Celta de Vigo | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 44cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked RC Celta de Vigo | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 32cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88ed…8300backed RC Celta de Vigo | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked RC Celta de Vigo | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked PAOK | 71c | 47.04$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked PAOK | 67c | 45.69$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked RC Celta de Vigo | 30c | 44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf7…ed48backed RC Celta de Vigo | 33c | 30.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed PAOK | 69c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed PAOK | 72c | 20.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 179 | 56.4%101 W · 78 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb152…ef4cbacked PAOK | 69c | 19.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-1.5)this page
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. PAOK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. PAOK: O/U 1.5Under won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. PAOK: O/U 2.5Under won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. PAOK: O/U 3.5Under won
- RC Celta de Vigo vs. PAOK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: PAOK (-1.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
- Spread: PAOK (-2.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.