TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

RC Celta de Vigo vs. PAOK: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$86,256
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$91,872

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,256 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf2f6…5817backed Over47c20,000$9,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,4002955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over48c14,735$7,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,068.9738247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Under53c10,000$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,699.9610960.6%66 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under61c9,122$5,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,560.623,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2795…fd6bbacked Under54c8,000$4,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,679.99944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Under52c5,769$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,769.231963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+42.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over46c4,878$2,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,258.1411242.9%48 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Under55c3,465$1,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,559.251963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+46.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under50c3,125$1,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,550.2984850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4105545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Under52c2,842$1,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,364.31560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under53c2,410$1,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.917143.7%31 W · 40 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Under53c2,264$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,064.153455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd35…17debacked Over46c2,174$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9004351.2%22 W · 21 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+50%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Over48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.998946.1%41 W · 48 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under53c1,908$1,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.0391950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over17c1,782$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016323.8%15 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over28c1,748$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.756722.4%15 W · 52 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-46.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over50c1,534$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.913145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd65d…a9e6backed Under54c1,391$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe03d…7208backed Under52c1,346$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.152100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed Over49c1,217$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.212867.9%19 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick67cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over46c1,081$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004841.7%20 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002532%8 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005545.5%25 W · 30 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-19.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x944e…8c94backed Over47c1,009$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.361353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9a0…e723backed Under52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.54333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Under53c943.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.391471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+40.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over50c900$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.964047.5%19 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under53c875.59$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.0255545.8%254 W · 301 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over21c703.74$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.9770239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under53c620.2$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.51662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+22.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf21…be19backed Over50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over10c543.09$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.858639.5%34 W · 52 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34a9…d343backed Over47c532.02$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2d1…84a2backed Over49c499.99$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.992540%10 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over33c373.26$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.735540%22 W · 33 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+34.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over46c346.01$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.1618049.4%89 W · 91 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under69c325.72$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.772,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1418250%41 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14112948.8%63 W · 66 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad9d…f2cdbacked Over48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1444131.7%13 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under53c250$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.58444%37 W · 47 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc554…00adbacked Under53c241.5$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.637753.2%41 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b34…c545backed Over42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick29cpaid+25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under61c235.37$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.926056.7%34 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x332d…7b0ebacked Over47c225.53$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1062937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Under55c218.18$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.184643.5%20 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017447.7%83 W · 91 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Over42c203$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.264136.6%15 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe50…6eb6backed Over47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over21c200$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418229.3%24 W · 58 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9238…b73ebacked Over41c199.96$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.492568%17 W · 8 L+4.9wins+0.20per pick48cpaid+32.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under49c197.95$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.9544952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf830…c2dbbacked Over23c196.96$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.31637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61d7…6c5bbacked Under51c190.14$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.17250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14f2…2cb0backed Under53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.681361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba9d…f60abacked Over50c187.98$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a72…9be0backed Over50c181.98$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.9920%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xecd4…6632backed Under51c179.04$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f03…dc32backed Over33c172.73$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571520%3 W · 12 L-3.8wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-44.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over16c156.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253138.7%12 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Over50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754537.8%17 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd69e…3393backed Over46c130.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603063.3%19 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc271…1bfdbacked Over47c128.3$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbaca…49e6backed Over47c123.4$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under53c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.47544%33 W · 42 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under53c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.48146.9%38 W · 43 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under53c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.47244.4%32 W · 40 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under53c120$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.47544%33 W · 42 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Under51c110$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.95358.5%31 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010941.3%45 W · 64 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Over47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509338.7%36 W · 57 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe762…064bbacked Over47c105$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.351573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.23per pick51cpaid+44.6%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504652.2%24 W · 22 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick63cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504151.2%21 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476344.4%28 W · 35 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475547.3%26 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504643.5%20 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d35…23c1backed Over44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509638.5%37 W · 59 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86a8…d0e7backed Over50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked Under55c79.82$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.182466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+27%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3bb8…7471backed Over41c77.08$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.68239%32 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Over48c76.9$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.918442.9%36 W · 48 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over46c76.09$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3526647.4%126 W · 140 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e0c…b90abacked Over20c75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152544%11 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1248…8db1backed Over43c69.97$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.092254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over46c69.13$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.82934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde28…fc33backed Over44c68.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3040%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Over43c65.38$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284348.8%21 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Over47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306041.7%25 W · 35 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x27cf…979abacked Under51c62.37$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.562035%7 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid+25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under53c61.99$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.132,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1479…b778backed Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302450%12 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbf9…7560backed Under50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Under53c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.22352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6c5…0d72backed Under54c55.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.55742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick32cpaid-9.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.