TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x944e…8c94

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
473
Categories scored
34
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Us Midterms, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Us Midterms at 62 out of 100; worst Venezuela at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT14348.3%69 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 143 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,670Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,670
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,222
France vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,222.1
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,028Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+116.2%+$1,194.32
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,393Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+59.5%+$828.8
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,261Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,260.99
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,261Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,260.97
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,183Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,183.2
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,094Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+103%+$1,127.67
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,222.04
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,467Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$755.48
Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Bosnia and Herzegovina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.46
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$355.52
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$367Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$366.63
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.1
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$377.73
Spread: Senegal (-1.5)backed Iraq · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,333Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,333.18
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,166.55
Spread: Senegal (-2.5)backed Iraq · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,133.11
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,933Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,933.14
Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,222.06
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$667Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$666.6
Spread: France (-1.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,133.1
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,022Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,199.87
Spread: United States (-1.5)backed Türkiye · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$622.16
Showing 25 of 143 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT14240.8%58 W · 84 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 142 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,190Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+86.4%+$1,891.98
Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$145
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10,936Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,936.17
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$55,013Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+46.1%+$25,359.98
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30,818Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$9,599.87
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$711Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$711.26
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.59
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.78
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$255.06
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$339.99
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,385Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+83.8%+$1,161.42
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,755Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+81.5%+$2,244.98
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,134
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,882Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,882
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,281Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$1,145.89
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$155.53
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,289Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$1,155.43
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.99
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$3,351Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+232.9%+$7,803.46
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$925Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$924.72
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by less than 3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.56
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$959Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$563.14
Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$5,828Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,827.72
Showing 25 of 142 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT3066.7%20 W · 10 L+5.9wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+40.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+38%+$156.85
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,419Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+56%+$794.9
Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$1,034.59
Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
Will Dwayne Romero be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.47
Will Alex Kelloff be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,019Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,018.81
Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.41
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$578Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$578
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,807Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,807.19
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,298Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,297.63
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+104%+$139.67
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$3,936Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+187.6%+$7,386.11
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$5,675Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+112.1%+$6,362.76
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by less than 3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.09
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$645Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$855
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 6-9%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$304
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$618Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$618.33
Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,244Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+141.2%+$1,756.23
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,979Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+42.6%+$843.38
Will Eileen Higgins win the 2025 Miami mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+100%+$100
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+127.3%+$392
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$870Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+72.4%+$630
Will Bruce Harrell win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$455Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+44.9%+$204.32
Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$730Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+43.7%+$319.5
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+37.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$5,680Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$2,207.52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$778Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$777.7
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.2
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,099.98
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,074Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$339.12
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$4,550
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+63.2%+$28.94
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,589Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,588.84
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,044Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$2,044
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,745Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+27.5%+$754.98
Netanyahu out by 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,170Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$330
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$4,217Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+32.9%+$1,386.04
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$756Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+25.7%+$194
Israel strike on Iran on June 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$200.42
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 15 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,299.87
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$889Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+150%+$1,333.18
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$933Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$933.24
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$711Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$1,510.96
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,067Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,066.56
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,067Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,155.44
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,155Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,066.56
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,133Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,088.77
Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$999.9
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$824Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+88.7%+$730.85
Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)backed Galatasaray SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$16.5
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)backed AS Monaco FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$982Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$505.92
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Brugge KV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,034Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,033.5
All 13 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,222Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$999.9
Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)backed Panathinaikós AO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,267Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,266.53
Aston Villa FC vs. Lille OSC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,155Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,066.56
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$844Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$1,377.64
AS Roma vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,222.1
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+185.7%+$650
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)backed Fenerbahçe SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+61.3%+$380
Bologna FC 1909 vs. SK Brann: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+112.8%+$530
RC Celta de Vigo vs. PAOK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$474Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$474.36
Will FC Viktoria Plzeň win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$450
Ferencvárosi TC vs. PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$510
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+100%+$750
VfB Stuttgart vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$590
All 13 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 7m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$829.99
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,982Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+61.5%+$1,217.98
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+33.3%+$125
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,136.48
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$304.98
Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$81.72
Will "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 31m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$25.8
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,217Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+214.9%+$2,615.74
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,254Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$2,253.65
Will "Elio" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $20m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross more than $170m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,174.97
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$668Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+35.1%+$234.58
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$952Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$952.32
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+64.8%+$204.53
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+25%+$120
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$42
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,039.99
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Trump x Putin talk before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$98
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$5,070Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+46.7%+$2,367.1
Will Russia capture Yunakivka before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$491Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+49.8%+$244.64
Nothing Ever Happens backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$357
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.88
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$747Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$253
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,520Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+31.6%+$480
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$141
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,663Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+58.4%+$2,137.34
Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$243.02
Andrew Cuomo gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.2
Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+180.1%+$225.05
Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$449.69
Houthis agree to end attacks on shipping before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$521Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$521.36
Will Trump raise or lower tariffs on China first?backed Raise · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.23
All 11 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST1090%9 W · 1 L+3.6wins+0.36per pick54cpaid+134.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Weather — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$719.99
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+270.4%+$364.98
2025 September second hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+801.8%+$3,271.98
Will a hurricane form by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$87
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$56
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+37%+$54
Earthquake 7.0 or above before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$429Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+86.5%+$371
Will the November 2024 temperature increase be between 1.25-1.29°C?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,580Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST+34.8%+$549.76
Will April 2024 show an increase of between 1.26°C-1.31°C?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2024, EDT+100%+$1,250
Will April 2024 show an increase of greater than 1.31°C?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$4,048Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2024, EDT+31.4%+$1,271.75
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+39.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+36.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Pittsburghbacked Pittsburgh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$320
Arizona vs. Arizona Statebacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+88.7%+$470
Spread: Indiana (-28.5)backed Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$520
San Diego State vs. New Mexicobacked New Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+104.1%+$510
O/U 62.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+104.1%+$510
Pittsburgh vs. Georgia Techbacked Pittsburgh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$675Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+122.2%+$825
All 6 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+31%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-32.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+48.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Hornets (-10.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,060Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+88.7%+$940
Spread: Raptors (-3.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$980Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$980
Spread: Hawks (-9.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$980Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+104.1%+$1,020
Nuggets vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+100%+$500
All 4 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-56.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jackets vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,222Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,222.09
Capitals vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$911Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$910.99
Lightning vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$112
Will Alex Ovechkin break the scoring record this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$484Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+75.2%+$363.83
All 4 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-2.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+24.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-51.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,145.35
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 141.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,145.35
Spread: Florida Gators (-9.5)backed Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.17
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$344.41
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,378Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,377.64
Wimbledon: Andreeva vs. Bencic (W) backed Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$201
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+121.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,050Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+100%+$1,050
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$920Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+143.3%+$1,318.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-35.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,807Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$508.25
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$123.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+75.4%+$859.98
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,019.51
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+81.8%+$900
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,755Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$1,754.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hans Niemann win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+31.9%+$38.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,202Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$686.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panathinaikos vs. BC Dubaibacked BC Dubai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$240
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$128.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Famalicão vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$900
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,114Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$1,113.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,766Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,766.49
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.