NFL · resolved market
Vikings vs. Packers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b7f17c460fb1aa8e1389081469979b2bf623e97aa8a939a501567a4f18b92a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Packersof Vikings, Packers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $883,374
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $902,147
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $883,374 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 385 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Vikings | 18c | 159,419$28,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,359.46 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Packers | 71c | 151,284$107,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,872.26 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Vikings | 29c | 106,651$30,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,928.74 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Packers | 71c | 64,269$45,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,638.13 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Vikings | 29c | 55,000$15,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,949.99 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Vikings | 29c | 53,000$15,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,370 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Packers | 71c | 50,000$35,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,500 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ec…2493backed Vikings | 29c | 43,644$12,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,656.68 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 39cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Packers | 74c | 33,718$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,718.01 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7678…e5f0backed Vikings | 29c | 25,647$7,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,310.22 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Vikings | 28c | 21,234$5,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,945.59 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Packers | 72c | 20,000$14,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Packers | 71c | 20,000$14,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,800 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Packers | 71c | 20,000$14,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,799.98 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Packers | 71c | 16,000$11,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,640 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…837dbacked Vikings | 30c | 14,367$4,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,310.06 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd041…7b26backed Vikings | 27c | 14,091$3,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,747 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…9241backed Vikings | 29c | 13,993$4,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,058.05 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9105…97f2backed Packers | 72c | 12,554$9,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,515.15 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Packers | 71c | 12,193$8,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,584.45 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6f…89b9backed Packers | 71c | 12,000$8,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,480 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Vikings | 0c | 11,212$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 98 | 0%0 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Packers | 72c | 11,104$7,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,109.17 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 73cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596e…7b82backed Packers | 71c | 11,072$7,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,210.95 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Vikings | 29c | 10,345$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd481…cdcbbacked Vikings | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf70c…72c1backed Vikings | 20c | 8,289$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,657.79 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Packers | 71c | 7,500$5,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,174.99 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Vikings | 26c | 6,286$1,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,621.69 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf4…8860backed Vikings | 29c | 5,431$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Packers | 71c | 5,025$3,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.66 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af5…2470backed Vikings | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Vikings | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 232 | 44.4%103 W · 129 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Vikings | 29c | 4,500$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked Vikings | 28c | 4,444$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.54 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Vikings | 28c | 4,357$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.96 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Packers | 71c | 4,141$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.85 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Packers | 71c | 4,000$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Vikings | 18c | 3,557$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.32 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Packers | 71c | 3,009$2,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.64 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Vikings | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Vikings | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5581…cb44backed Packers | 72c | 3,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Packers | 71c | 3,000$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Packers | 78c | 2,535$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.18 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Vikings | 29c | 2,500$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Packers | 71c | 2,240$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.09 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Vikings | 1c | 2,222$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed Vikings | 2c | 2,094$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.95 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27e3…bbd0backed Packers | 72c | 2,069$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b9…7874backed Vikings | 29c | 2,069$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf33…261fbacked Vikings | 1c | 2,050$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -65%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Packers | 71c | 2,029$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.41 | 314 | 50%157 W · 157 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Packers | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.01 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Packers | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Vikings | 25c | 1,985$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.47 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Packers | 71c | 1,800$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.99 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Packers | 72c | 1,750$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Packers | 73c | 1,689$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.89 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf04e…2773backed Vikings | 18c | 1,667$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.36 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -36%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd368…1889backed Vikings | 29c | 1,600$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464 | 138 | 42%58 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Packers | 71c | 1,600$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Vikings | 28c | 1,596$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.88 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Vikings | 29c | 1,586$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.9 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Packers | 71c | 1,541$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.75 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Vikings | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Vikings | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae8b…5f7cbacked Packers | 71c | 1,493$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.86 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba3…c720backed Vikings | 29c | 1,491$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Packers | 76c | 1,448$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.23 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf936…f310backed Packers | 72c | 1,397$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.89 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aeb…be79backed Packers | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.89 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Vikings | 13c | 1,345$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.35 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Packers | 72c | 1,328$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.97 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Vikings | 28c | 1,311$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.2 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Packers | 72c | 1,258$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.24 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Vikings | 27c | 1,215$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.93 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Packers | 72c | 1,138$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.64 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81aa…eee1backed Packers | 72c | 1,111$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd54…2941backed Vikings | 28c | 1,100$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ce…7180backed Vikings | 29c | 1,069$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Packers | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Packers | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e08…9726backed Vikings | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Vikings | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb457…b13abacked Packers | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Vikings | 29c | 999.98$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.99 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Packers | 71c | 993.2$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.03 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Packers | 72c | 982.15$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.55 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae3…bc70backed Vikings | 10c | 980.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Packers | 70c | 976.25$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.88 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe88e…a7d4backed Packers | 72c | 972.22$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.22 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Packers | 71c | 947$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.63 | 143 | 66.4%95 W · 48 L | +13.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x25a9…f991backed Vikings | 11c | 921.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Vikings | 29c | 862.07$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35de…b39abacked Vikings | 29c | 827.59$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…0febbacked Packers | 71c | 749.98$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Vikings | 28c | 714.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb24e…a2e5backed Packers | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Packers | 72c | 666.67$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.67 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vikings vs. Packersthis page
- 1H Spread: Packers (-3.5)Packers won
- Spread: Packers (-6.5)Packers won
- Vikings vs. Packers: 1H MoneylinePackers won
- Vikings vs. Packers: 1H O/U 21.5Under won
- Vikings vs. Packers: O/U 40.5Under won
- Vikings vs. Packers: O/U 41.5Under won
- Vikings vs. Packers: O/U 42.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.