NFL · resolved market
Spread: Packers (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa248caefbaf298471527a43fd60d6bfaec846ce40568e3bc6a634fa5df82a63d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Packersof Packers, Vikings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $244,239
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $246,451
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $244,239 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Vikings | 51c | 50,000$25,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,500 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Packers | 49c | 43,780$21,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,327.96 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Vikings | 52c | 43,225$22,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,473.01 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Packers | 49c | 41,624$20,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,228.26 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +9.7wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Vikings | 51c | 35,972$18,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,345.83 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Packers | 49c | 26,820$13,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,678.2 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6f…89b9backed Packers | 49c | 26,000$12,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,259.83 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Packers | 49c | 15,010$7,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,608.1 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Vikings | 51c | 11,452$5,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,840.67 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Vikings | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Packers | 49c | 10,000$4,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,150 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Packers | 48c | 7,500$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Vikings | 51c | 7,200$3,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,672 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Packers | 48c | 7,051$3,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,663.85 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Packers | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…dd3cbacked Vikings | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,119.99 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Vikings | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Packers | 48c | 4,977$2,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,588.16 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Packers | 49c | 4,085$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,083.35 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Vikings | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,039.99 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Vikings | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Vikings | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Vikings | 52c | 2,750$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.91 | 168 | 60.7%102 W · 66 L | +18.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Vikings | 52c | 2,163$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Packers | 48c | 2,019$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.08 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4d…6055backed Packers | 48c | 2,014$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6d…1ba1backed Vikings | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Vikings | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Vikings | 51c | 1,844$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.44 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Packers | 58c | 1,767$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.82 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Vikings | 50c | 1,695$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.5 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Packers | 47c | 1,563$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.49 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63ed…b0f4backed Vikings | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 34cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Vikings | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.99 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Packers | 49c | 1,002$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.22 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Packers | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Packers | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 211 | 51.2%108 W · 103 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed Vikings | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…5e8dbacked Packers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Packers | 50c | 973.98$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.12 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Vikings | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Vikings | 50c | 920.94$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.85 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Vikings | 50c | 899$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.5 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d7…c17bbacked Packers | 50c | 850$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Packers | 50c | 792.98$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.98 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Vikings | 50c | 750$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Vikings | 51c | 601$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.51 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Vikings | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Vikings | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Vikings | 53c | 542$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.83 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Packers | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Packers | 49c | 474$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.42 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a38…8fb5backed Vikings | 51c | 454.9$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…b4aebacked Packers | 48c | 420$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.4 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Packers | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Packers | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Vikings | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 194 | 59.3%115 W · 79 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Vikings | 52c | 335.02$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x942b…e25ebacked Vikings | 50c | 306$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.38 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Packers | 49c | 258$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.55 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Packers | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Vikings | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -12.9wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Vikings | 51c | 221.6$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.93 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Packers | 49c | 210.78$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 363 | 41.9%152 W · 211 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46ed…cfa6backed Packers | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b80…657fbacked Vikings | 51c | 204$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.04 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Vikings | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Packers | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 206 | 50.5%104 W · 102 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183a…d514backed Packers | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb225…d86bbacked Packers | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfd…ca1bbacked Packers | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Vikings | 49c | 193$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.57 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…9188backed Vikings | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Packers | 48c | 189.58$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.58 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa92a…e1b9backed Packers | 48c | 166.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ff…40b4backed Vikings | 51c | 160$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.95 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Vikings | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | +12.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Vikings | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 280 | 47.5%133 W · 147 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Packers | 48c | 155$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Packers | 49c | 154.8$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.95 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Packers | 48c | 154$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…d699backed Vikings | 53c | 146.4$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.59 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf014…d442backed Vikings | 52c | 143.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.62 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Packers | 50c | 132$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 120 | 31.7%38 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Packers | 48c | 119.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.39 | 243 | 52.7%128 W · 115 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25b0…94ebbacked Vikings | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Packers | 49c | 111.24$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.24 | 205 | 42%86 W · 119 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Vikings | 53c | 108.06$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd79c…a0e7backed Packers | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6941…efd5backed Packers | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…19a0backed Vikings | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cab…3280backed Packers | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Packers | 48c | 99.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b79…3c8cbacked Vikings | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa047…f4c5backed Vikings | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf35…b327backed Vikings | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9da3…a7efbacked Vikings | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Packers | 53c | 90$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54d…cce3backed Packers | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4d…f0b8backed Vikings | 52c | 75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Packers (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Packers (-3.5)Packers won
- Vikings vs. PackersPackers won
- Vikings vs. Packers: 1H MoneylinePackers won
- Vikings vs. Packers: 1H O/U 21.5Under won
- Vikings vs. Packers: O/U 40.5Under won
- Vikings vs. Packers: O/U 41.5Under won
- Vikings vs. Packers: O/U 42.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.