TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd79c…a0e7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
250
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: College Football, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 55 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST8540%34 W · 51 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 85 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$113
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+96.1%+$120.1
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$133.02
Spread: Patriots (-5.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+88.7%+$53.21
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$185
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+66.7%+$33.33
Spread: Eagles (-6.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+84.4%+$135.05
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Bills (-1.5)backed Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the NFC South?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Spread: Packers (-3.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+81.8%+$32.73
Panthers vs. Saintsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$180
Packers vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+142.6%+$71.32
Packers vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$110
Spread: Giants (-2.5)backed Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Spread: Bears (-7.5)backed Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Ravens vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Ravens (-3.5)backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Chiefs (-6.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+88.7%+$35.47
Spread: Eagles (-11.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+92.3%+$27.69
Spread: Bills (-5.5)backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+108.3%+$54.17
Showing 25 of 85 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST4254.8%23 W · 19 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: USC (-6.5)backed TCU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+72.4%+$72.41
Spread: Tennessee (-3.5)backed Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+88.7%+$89.57
Tennessee vs. Illinoisbacked Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+143.9%+$28.78
Spread: Tennessee (-2.5)backed Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+88.7%+$70.94
Spread: Georgia Southern (-7.5)backed Georgia Southern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+91.3%+$95.87
Spread: Missouri (-4.5)backed Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+81.8%+$40.91
Virginia vs. Missouribacked Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+163.2%+$32.63
Spread: North Texas (-3.5)backed San Diego State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+81.8%+$40.91
Spread: North Texas (-6.5)backed San Diego State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+96.1%+$76.86
Spread: North Texas (-7.5)backed San Diego State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+85.2%+$21.3
New Mexico vs. Minnesotabacked New Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Minnesota (-1.5)backed New Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Northwestern (-12.5)backed Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Northwestern (-10.5)backed Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$99
Spread: Oregon (-21.5)backed James Madison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Alabama vs. Oklahomabacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$65
Missouri State vs. Arkansas Statebacked Missouri State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Spread: Troy (-1.5)backed Jacksonville State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Spread: Hawaii (-7.5)backed Wyoming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: SMU Mustangs (-13.5)backed SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Maryland Terrapins vs. Michigan Statebacked Michigan State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+51.9%+$51.89
Spread: Miami (OH) (-17.5)backed Miami (OH) · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+96.1%+$48.04
Spread: Toledo (-10.5)backed Toledo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+95.5%+$57.31
Texas A&M vs. Texasbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Spread: Georgia Tech (-2.5)backed Georgia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT3647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+90.3%+$149.87
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+57.8%+$150.22
Will Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+400%+$40
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.08
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.23
Will Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.45
Will Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+400%+$40
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$34.75
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$61.29
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+92.3%+$56.31
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+72.4%+$76.03
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$145
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$225
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+58.7%+$70.48
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+44.9%+$44.93
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$225
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$100
Will Manchester United win on 2025-08-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$245
Will Arsenal win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$501Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$167
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+520.8%+$338.55
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.06
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$198.84
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+54.2%+$27.08
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$83.7
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 23 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$100.38
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$46.67
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$86.18
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+143.9%+$143.9
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Will Fenerbahçe win on 2025-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Will Paris Saint Germain vs. Inter end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+311.4%+$778.59
Will PSG vs. Inter Milan first half result in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Champions League Final: 3+ goals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Champions LeagueQuarterfinals: Arsenal vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$251
Champions League Quarterfinals: Bayern vs. Inter Milanbacked Bayern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$375
Will Arsenal vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
All 21 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick30cpaid-83.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.88
Will St. John's win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+65.6%+$162.61
Will Gonzaga win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-7.5)backed Seton Hall Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.94
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-5.5)backed Seton Hall Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$49.56
St. John's Red Storm vs. Seton Hall Piratesbacked Seton Hall Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$39.8
Spread: Syracuse Orange (-3.5)backed Syracuse Orange · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Davidson Wildcats (-4.5)backed Fordham Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
US Open: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Jannik Sinner win 3:1 against Novak Djokovic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Novak Djokovic win 3:2 against Jannik Sinner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Djokovic backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
Will Carlos Alcaraz win 3:0 against Taylor Fritz?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Will Jannik Sinner win the US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2024, EDT+181.7%+$218.1
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$38.25
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
Timberwolves vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$125
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Heat vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2025, EST+69.5%+$41.56
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$130
All 6 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Avalanche vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2025, EST+233.3%+$46.67
Predators vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Lightning vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+92.3%+$46.15
Blues vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$60
All 5 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+354.5%+$70.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Napoli win the Serie A?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$135.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+88.7%+$399.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Biden deletes "I'm sick" tweet by tonight?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown by October 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.