TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,582,516
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,671,605

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,582,516 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 563 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2635…5408backed No26c598,559$157,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157,603.482626.9%7 W · 19 L-5.3wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-49.8%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes74c162,500$119,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,999.996357.1%36 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes75c117,424$87,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,728.9720039.5%79 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes74c111,600$82,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,092.186,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked No27c87,580$23,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,510.562941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed No25c85,555$21,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,088.741729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-39.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes74c77,675$57,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,195.6215344.4%68 W · 85 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes74c70,557$51,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,619.1814544.8%65 W · 80 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes75c56,004$41,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,219.181,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes73c39,685$28,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,714.917958.1%104 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No27c39,364$10,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,485.9820140.8%82 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae81…aafbbacked Yes76c37,500$28,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,0001100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No32c36,176$11,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,556.679650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No26c35,911$9,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,295.4630851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd16a…7691backed No26c32,500$8,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,289.991866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+42.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No26c29,311$7,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,696.1210849.1%53 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No26c28,308$7,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,26410236.3%37 W · 65 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes67c26,529$17,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,793.4718948.7%92 W · 97 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x800f…3586backed Yes74c20,261$14,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,267.81771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+56.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes74c18,500$13,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,81020646.1%95 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed No24c16,858$4,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,107.713834.2%13 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No26c15,000$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,899.9824846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes73c14,000$10,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7809646.9%45 W · 51 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No26c14,000$3,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,639.9715949.1%78 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked No26c13,658$3,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,539.474045%18 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+25.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc04d…69e7backed Yes74c13,646$10,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,548.01560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No26c13,422$3,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,476.5314450.7%73 W · 71 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x843d…e617backed Yes74c11,599$8,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,015.662853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No37c11,439$4,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,216.4479639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x328e…dc42backed No26c10,603$2,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,714.962227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-58.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No26c10,015$2,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,603.9621154.5%115 W · 96 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcde3…002dbacked Yes75c9,008$6,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2522556%14 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes73c6,464$4,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,745.3835652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No37c6,301$2,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,323.0551542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed Yes73c6,000$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6005054%27 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes75c5,904$4,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,476.0323350.2%117 W · 116 L-14.9wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7308…c177backed No36c5,575$1,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,997.76825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-57.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No41c4,823$1,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,986.564,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No26c4,695$1,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,207.8946651.9%242 W · 224 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes75c4,667$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.674447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed No33c4,652$1,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,538.284946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbbb…05a8backed Yes74c4,509$3,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,172.282100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No25c4,100$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,008.9817833.7%60 W · 118 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x571c…c16abacked Yes75c4,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00010848.1%52 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Yes35c3,508$1,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,269.1235758%207 W · 150 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes58c3,387$1,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.2827235.7%97 W · 175 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42a8…81f5backed Yes74c3,078$2,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.38742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-41.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes61c2,977$1,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,172.4141437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed No26c2,941$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7771643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4db0…e467backed Yes74c2,731$2,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.121741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes67c2,649$1,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.5436954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked No26c2,615$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.98750.6%44 W · 43 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb89f…3705backed Yes74c2,540$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No26c2,489$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.2537054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb4…7a49backed No26c2,388$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.92560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a4c…6579backed No26c2,340$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.214235.7%15 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes59c2,300$1,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.6129044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No27c2,232$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.346334.9%22 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-36.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No25c2,050$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.568026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes74c2,040$1,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.4822744.5%101 W · 126 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4944…e4c7backed Yes74c2,017$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.077060%42 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked Yes67c2,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed No25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010751.4%55 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c54…f00ebacked Yes75c1,857$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.271384.6%11 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.22per pick62cpaid+26%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Yes45c1,791$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992.46450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes76c1,777$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.4318740.6%76 W · 111 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa815…a3c3backed Yes74c1,750$1,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4553262.5%20 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick71cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes70c1,692$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.4630050.7%152 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdfba…9398backed No25c1,572$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.06875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+63.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x99fb…acbabacked Yes74c1,540$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.491656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick67cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4041…6f52backed Yes58c1,490$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62415037.3%56 W · 94 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0bf…e4a1backed Yes78c1,410$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.15850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes73c1,370$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.475944.1%26 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Yes74c1,351$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.3526054.2%141 W · 119 L+1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x736f…d0c5backed Yes74c1,349$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.062462.5%15 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5e1…7edabacked No33c1,301$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.322254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No25c1,300$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.0890751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Yes75c1,292$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.611428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-56.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes74c1,265$942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.2439561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No25c1,227$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.0324566.1%162 W · 83 L+24.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes75c1,183$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.7710445.2%47 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed No60c1,177$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.0820744%91 W · 116 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed No27c1,111$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002050%10 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2b9…0a94backed Yes74c1,095$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.592100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No35c1,080$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.528736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No34c1,080$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.8340046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x630c…1230backed Yes73c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27010333%34 W · 69 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1208…1feabacked No27c1,000$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2655160.8%31 W · 20 L+6.0wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+25.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf208…314ebacked Yes74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2601656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked Yes74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2606051.7%31 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x732b…3b02backed Yes75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2501040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-35.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa589…176bbacked Yes74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-73%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6231…3f29backed No26c999.99$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-39.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No26c999.92$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.9840640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb5…8b87backed Yes62c971.94$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.945923.7%14 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-46.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb22a…77c9backed Yes73c960.93$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.93683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick64cpaid+30%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b0c…1a42backed Yes70c956.67$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.57771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick45cpaid+29.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe2d0…a4d3backed Yes70c952.85$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.981457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No25c936$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.5683459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed No29c929.62$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.87139.4%28 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.