TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0eb4…7a49

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
75
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Lol, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 57 out of 100; worst CS2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST4163.4%26 W · 15 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Los Heretics (BO5)backed Los Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$28.58
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,331Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+59.3%+$788.98
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Secret Whales (BO3)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,917Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$673.62
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11,699Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$4,110.51
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Los Ratones (BO5)backed Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,974Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$2,054.39
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,000
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO1)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$984Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$628.84
LoL: Los Ratones vs Galions (BO5)backed Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$423Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+31.8%+$134.34
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,033Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+80.4%+$2,439.28
LoL: Geekay vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO5)backed Geekay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
LoL: Gen.G vs PSG Talon (BO1)backed PSG Talon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.76
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO1)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,913Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$1,275.84
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Team Secret Whales (BO1)backed Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$759Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$506
LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs Gentle Mates (BO5)backed ROSSMANN Centaurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+400%+$976
LoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX (BO5)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$209.44
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO3)backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.74
LoL: BNK FEARX vs MGN Vikings Esports (BO3)backed MGN Vikings Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$221
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Weibo Gaming (BO3)backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,478Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+289.1%+$4,273.96
LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs Vitality.Bee (BO3)backed Vitality.Bee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$459Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$258.04
LoL: StormMedia Fajnie Mieć Skład vs eSuba (BO1)backed eSuba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$316.1
LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs Galions (BO1)backed Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+100%+$25
LoL: Zena Esports vs Verdantbacked Zena Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,635Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,634.94
LoL: The Otter Side vs Gamespace Mediterranean College Esportsbacked Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$444Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$444.26
LoL: Zero Tenacity vs StormMedia Fajnie Mieć Składbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$84
LoL: Barça eSports vs Team Phantasmabacked Barça eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT+74.4%+$238.41
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs B8 (BO3)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$413Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$412.65
Counter-Strike: ESC Gaming vs Sangal (BO3)backed ESC Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.75
Counter-Strike: R2 Esports Club vs Vexa (BO3)backed R2 Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$304.78
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FaZe (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$4,136Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,135.92
Counter-Strike: Dusty Roots vs Sharks (BO3)backed Dusty Roots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$187.2
Counter-Strike: MAGICOS vs R2 Esports Club (BO3)backed R2 Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$607Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$607.5
Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs Copenhagen Wolvesbacked FORZE Reload · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$317Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$105.62
CS: fnatic vs Nemigabacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$263.44
CS: RUBY vs CPH Wolvesbacked RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$185.7
LoL: TES vs ALbacked TES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,635Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+100%+$1,634.73
LoL: T1 vs DKbacked DK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$3,185Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,184.73
LoL: RC vs QTDbacked QTD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$740Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+400%+$2,961.08
CS: FURIA vs G2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,605Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,605.2
FISSURE Playground 2: FaZe vs. paiNbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$235.81
BLAST Open: MOUZ vs. FURIAbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,878Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,878.29
BLAST Open: Vitality vs. FaZebacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$119.84
BLAST Open: FaZe vs. Natus Vincerebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$68.25
BLAST Bounty: MIBR vs. Virtus.probacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 12, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$844Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$843.75
Dota 2: Aurora vs AVULUS (BO3)backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$168.59
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs. PARIVISIONbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$584Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$584
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$305
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$381Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$380.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+143.9%+$71.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: McConico vs. Susurkaev (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed McConico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$64.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 9, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nationals vs. Giantsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Fnatic vs NRG (BO3)backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$409Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$409.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Qairat FK vs. Páfos FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.