Lol · resolved market
LoL: Los Ratones vs Galions (BO5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf238f40006d58f2eeaef8c143ab4a2df6213225fa94642f585d1b7491bf3c750
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Ratonesof Los Ratones, Galions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,288
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,265
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,288 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa941…ec2ebacked Los Ratones | 70c | 6,438$4,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,931.39 | 511 | 60.3%308 W · 203 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Galions | 30c | 4,464$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.1 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked Los Ratones | 77c | 2,000$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.52 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Galions | 1c | 1,422$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 354 | 48.6%172 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…73b3backed Galions | 25c | 1,331$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Galions | 30c | 1,019$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.14 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Galions | 30c | 930.93$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.28 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3f…4b40backed Los Ratones | 74c | 779.88$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.21 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Galions | 26c | 700$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 190 | 41.1%78 W · 112 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…2b06backed Galions | 23c | 659.78$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.23 | 480 | 35.4%170 W · 310 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Los Ratones | 78c | 606$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.38 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Galions | 35c | 605$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.55 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb4…7a49backed Los Ratones | 76c | 557$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.34 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57d2…4f20backed Galions | 22c | 530$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.6 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked Galions | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 164 | 39.6%65 W · 99 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Los Ratones | 78c | 494.06$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.28 | 132 | 59.1%78 W · 54 L | +10.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…153ebacked Galions | 32c | 480.31$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.7 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f5…90abbacked Galions | 31c | 455$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.05 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…d292backed Galions | 22c | 446.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…381bbacked Los Ratones | 80c | 433.95$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.95 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Galions | 31c | 344.89$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.31 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Galions | 23c | 344.37$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.83 | 142 | 36.6%52 W · 90 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Los Ratones | 70c | 343$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Los Ratones | 65c | 294.16$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.96 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6127…27debacked Los Ratones | 66c | 260$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.65 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62cc…9d0fbacked Galions | 29c | 250$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd677…7579backed Galions | 21c | 250$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04b1…d224backed Galions | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 406 | 51.7%210 W · 196 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb108…7212backed Los Ratones | 68c | 200$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b3…1ddfbacked Los Ratones | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x825a…50c7backed Galions | 31c | 141.26$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c44…4f2abacked Galions | 32c | 138.22$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Galions | 30c | 126.23$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.02 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b7…52bebacked Galions | 32c | 110$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 181 | 48.1%87 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3d…8669backed Galions | 29c | 103.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…bfe6backed Los Ratones | 77c | 103.09$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Galions | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 866 | 49.7%430 W · 436 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Galions | 35c | 90.83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.79 | 903 | 48.4%437 W · 466 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Los Ratones | 70c | 86.67$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 183 | 40.4%74 W · 109 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…aa9ebacked Galions | 30c | 86.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa955…f602backed Los Ratones | 71c | 85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb7…0bd3backed Los Ratones | 73c | 83.74$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 186 | 40.3%75 W · 111 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0f…df88backed Galions | 24c | 83.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f49…463abacked Galions | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7997…77bbbacked Galions | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Los Ratones | 70c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 596 | 47.7%284 W · 312 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44f…4d77backed Los Ratones | 76c | 51.01$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…a540backed Galions | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 316 | 44.3%140 W · 176 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff91…0b95backed Los Ratones | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…529fbacked Los Ratones | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6816…c069backed Los Ratones | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Los Ratones | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…6e8ebacked Los Ratones | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x478b…f94ebacked Los Ratones | 77c | 19.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…d3eabacked Los Ratones | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Los Ratones | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.