TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc660…6e8e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
99
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: College Football, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 55 out of 100; worst Middle East at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT4143.9%18 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 328: Jeremy Stephens vs. King Green (Lightweight, Main Card)backed King Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$35.7
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Jirí Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.73
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Josh Hokit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+91.3%+$62.77
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Israel Adesanya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.32
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
UFC 326: Michael Johnson vs. Drew Dober (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Drew Dober · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+61.3%+$6.13
UFC Fight Night: Kris Moutinho vs. Cristian Quiñonez (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Moutinho · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$70.91
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+241.2%+$45.95
UFC Fight Night: Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Uros Medic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+182.1%+$29.05
UFC Fight Night: Dan Ige vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Ige · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$19.15
UFC Fight Night: Josiah Harrell vs. Jacobe Smith (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Josiah Harrell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$14.5
UFC Fight Night: Alden Coria vs. Luis Gurule (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Gurule · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$13.5
UFC Fight Night: Phil Rowe vs. Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Phil Rowe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$19.65
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+224.1%+$186.7
UFC 324: Figueiredo vs. Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Figueiredo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$56.53
UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Tsarukyan (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Hooker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$44.2
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Della Maddalena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$10.8
Oliveira vs. Gamrotbacked Gamrot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.14
Santos vs. Yoobacked Yoo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.2
Soriano vs. Veretennikovbacked Veretennikov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.4
Walker vs. Hardybacked Walker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
UFC Fight Night: Mullarkey vs. Bedoyabacked Mullarkey · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$9
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Cachoeirabacked Edwards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
UFC 318: Vettori vs. Allen backed Vettori · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.55
UFC 318: Prado vs. Veretennikovbacked Prado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.2
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+32.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.9
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,719Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,719.01
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$208
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$5.57
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST+376.2%+$553.18
Jazz vs. Sunsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$150.77
Nets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$204.6
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2025, EST-100%-$308.67
Celtics vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$29.55
Wizards vs. Cavaliersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST-100%-$124.52
Trail Blazers vs. Rocketsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST+733.3%+$733.35
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST+37.8%+$66.4
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-81.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+29.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+45.5%+$6.25
Chiefs vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$108.33
Vikings vs. Titansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$155.7
Dolphins vs. Ramsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2024, EST+132.6%+$28.64
Patriots vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2024, EDT+169.1%+$118.64
All 5 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-40%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+137.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2024, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+182.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Olympics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick65cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 24, 2024, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United beat Brighton?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2024, EDT+61.3%+$39.21
Will Manchester City win vs Chelsea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2024, EDT+42.9%+$36.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Los Ratones vs Galions (BO5)backed Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
LoL: Vitality.Bee vs Los Ratones (BO5)backed Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$6.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet less than 400 times Jan 10-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST+28.2%+$42.7
Will Trump post 11-15 times this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2024, EDT+49.7%+$30.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2024, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-35%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST+30%+$65.74
Will Lando Norris win the 2024 F1 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$44.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Joe Rogan attend presidential inauguration?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$48.18
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$149.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+488.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nicolas Maduro Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2024, EDT+488.2%+$101.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2024, EDT+376.2%+$185.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Senators vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST+109.3%+$160.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$108
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.