UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Kris Moutinho vs. Cristian Quiñonez (Bantamweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0a03ae6b03022516d87a5aec40ad4d64393bf144dc0f8b407a30497e446c7c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Quiñonezof Moutinho, Quiñonez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $303,489
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $338,985
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $303,489 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Moutinho | 17c | 72,529$12,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,329.97 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Moutinho | 17c | 50,767$8,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,622.7 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Moutinho | 8c | 14,090$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.45 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Moutinho | 15c | 12,561$1,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,884.11 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Moutinho | 10c | 9,680$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.09 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Moutinho | 17c | 8,188$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392.01 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Moutinho | 17c | 7,342$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.81 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Moutinho | 18c | 4,933$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Moutinho | 18c | 4,167$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Moutinho | 15c | 4,147$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.52 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf91a…4ea7backed Moutinho | 16c | 3,102$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 25cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Moutinho | 5c | 3,009$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.05 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Moutinho | 18c | 2,999$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.82 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Moutinho | 17c | 2,941$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Moutinho | 14c | 1,853$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.05 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Moutinho | 18c | 1,816$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.53 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Moutinho | 4c | 1,741$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.31 | 201 | 39.8%80 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Moutinho | 14c | 1,547$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.95 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0267backed Moutinho | 16c | 1,500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Moutinho | 5c | 1,465$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.3 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Moutinho | 12c | 1,211$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.32 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Moutinho | 13c | 1,200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Moutinho | 17c | 1,111$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.87 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77c0…af29backed Moutinho | 16c | 1,067$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.9 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Moutinho | 10c | 612.22$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.98 | 224 | 38.4%86 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Moutinho | 15c | 582$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.3 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58dc…59e4backed Moutinho | 18c | 527.78$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Moutinho | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Moutinho | 14c | 498.4$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.78 | 248 | 47.2%117 W · 131 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…6e8ebacked Moutinho | 15c | 471.6$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.91 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Moutinho | 18c | 448.2$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.68 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.44per pick | 61cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…8e5abacked Moutinho | 13c | 410.41$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.03 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…9aa2backed Moutinho | 18c | 388.89$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +50%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…207fbacked Moutinho | 18c | 323.38$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.63 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Moutinho | 17c | 300$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…a035backed Moutinho | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Moutinho | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ca…6a3abacked Moutinho | 16c | 269.19$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…7518backed Moutinho | 12c | 258.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Moutinho | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x239f…9ab2backed Moutinho | 16c | 243.6$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Moutinho | 5c | 232.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 264 | 51.9%137 W · 127 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Moutinho | 16c | 224.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Moutinho | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f25…442cbacked Moutinho | 15c | 201.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Moutinho | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Moutinho | 17c | 199.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4129…ce4fbacked Moutinho | 24c | 192.8$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Moutinho | 18c | 176.78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.76 | 145 | 43.4%63 W · 82 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Moutinho | 18c | 170$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Moutinho | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 148 | 27%40 W · 108 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Moutinho | 14c | 143$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda79…daecbacked Moutinho | 14c | 138.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 184 | 40.8%75 W · 109 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d3…e8e1backed Moutinho | 18c | 122.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac1e…ea39backed Moutinho | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 324 | 31.8%103 W · 221 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Moutinho | 16c | 117$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 267 | 36%96 W · 171 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b42…cf90backed Moutinho | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Moutinho | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8227…d504backed Moutinho | 18c | 109.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc307…bf36backed Moutinho | 18c | 107$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcd…7ab2backed Moutinho | 15c | 107$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Moutinho | 14c | 102.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…5166backed Moutinho | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 22cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7604…78b5backed Moutinho | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1a…bf0abacked Moutinho | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…b6c9backed Moutinho | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf63e…d3afbacked Moutinho | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…262bbacked Moutinho | 16c | 93.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd360…7f38backed Quiñonez | 74c | 92.75$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f6…b176backed Moutinho | 18c | 90.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe160…b6b9backed Moutinho | 18c | 88.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…efaabacked Moutinho | 18c | 83.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed Moutinho | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Moutinho | 17c | 80.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 194 | 18.6%36 W · 158 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Moutinho | 18c | 80.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 192 | 30.7%59 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7540…9318backed Moutinho | 18c | 75.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ea…6f40backed Quiñonez | 70c | 72.71$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8f…3380backed Quiñonez | 70c | 72.66$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x637a…a27cbacked Moutinho | 18c | 71.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Moutinho | 15c | 66.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f9…0321backed Quiñonez | 70c | 66.39$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8982…59fbbacked Moutinho | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Moutinho | 18c | 61.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 135 | 57%77 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a5…7f63backed Moutinho | 18c | 61.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3db1…78c5backed Moutinho | 18c | 61.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Quiñonez | 71c | 51.39$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf26e…5067backed Quiñonez | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2d…a9b1backed Quiñonez | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 162 | 58.6%95 W · 67 L | +12.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Kris Moutinho vs. Cristian Quiñonez (Bantamweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- Will Cristian Quiñonez win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Kris Moutinho win by KO or TKO?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.