TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb5f6…b176

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst Weather at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1811.1%2 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-67%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 197.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 199.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+202.7%+$91.2
Bulls vs. Clippersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Bulls vs. Lakersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Celtics vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.4
Nuggets vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Knicks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.04
Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Hornets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Hornets vs. Kings: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Warriors vs. Thunderbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$71.95
76ers vs. Hawksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Timberwolves vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Magic vs. Clippersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+190.9%+$156.69
Knicks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$55
All 18 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick28cpaid-88.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Weather — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.21
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on March 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$15.64
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on March 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or higher on March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.53
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+92.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Parksbacked Tessa Brockmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+682.1%+$170.51
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogibacked Carlos Maria Zarate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Naples: Daniel Altmaier vs Andrea Guerrieribacked Andrea Guerrieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.34
Hersonissos 2: Robin Bertrand vs Toby Samuelbacked Robin Bertrand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
BNP Paribas Open: Laura Siegemund vs Elina Svitolinabacked Laura Siegemund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.08
Kigali: Marco Cecchinato vs Jerome Kymbacked Marco Cecchinato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+658.5%+$105.36
Kigali: Calvin Hemery vs Arthur Geabacked Calvin Hemery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Kigali: Luka Pavlovic vs Stefano Napolitanobacked Luka Pavlovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Midland: Hanyu Guo vs Alina Charaevabacked Charaeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+118.4%+$32.1
New Delhi: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Oliver Crawfordbacked Sakellaridis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+65.8%+$13.17
All 10 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-45.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Aiemann Zahabi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Steve Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Reinier de Ridder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
UFC 326: Rob Font vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Rob Font · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$19.84
UFC Fight Night: Kris Moutinho vs. Cristian Quiñonez (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Moutinho · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$16
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+197.5%+$59.25
UFC Fight Night: Ante Delija vs. Serghei Spivac (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Spivac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+93.1%+$10.83
UFC Fight Night: Juliana Miller vs. Carli Judice (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Miller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$13
All 9 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-37.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mansfield Town FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.