Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0760cd58a4c9f2f9fe1b3eb76b1c6cec3febf6efc9e057765d009c0f9a0160b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,797
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,631
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,797 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 1c | 7,960$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.21 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…daccbacked No | 76c | 4,109$3,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.26 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 24c | 3,000$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.48 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 23c | 1,652$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.01 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 50c | 1,629$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.46 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 78c | 1,591$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.08 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 12c | 1,427$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.02 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…1cefbacked Yes | 2c | 1,137$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb427…4c62backed Yes | 24c | 1,052$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.46 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e1…c152backed Yes | 24c | 1,000$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.44 | 202 | 31.2%63 W · 139 L | +22.2wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f3…d6ddbacked No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 79c | 842.65$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.71 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 78c | 819.02$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.47 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 71c | 642$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.52 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 78c | 607.73$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.48 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 24c | 587.42$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.89 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf325…f8e0backed Yes | 7c | 523.32$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.47 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e53…14e7backed Yes | 26c | 515.52$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.59 | 150 | 27.3%41 W · 109 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a1…1d37backed No | 49c | 500$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253 | 320 | 41.9%134 W · 186 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed No | 75c | 347.75$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.94 | 348 | 53.4%186 W · 162 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 9c | 340.47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 32c | 334.05$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.34 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x9a86…84ecbacked Yes | 23c | 329.67$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.69 | 465 | 49.9%232 W · 233 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 74c | 323$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.72 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed No | 58c | 310.61$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.63 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 76c | 277.61$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 77c | 266.03$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.13 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a35…bdc6backed Yes | 23c | 250$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 76c | 244.7$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.07 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a5…95cfbacked Yes | 23c | 228.27$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.31 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 19c | 217.82$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…3c91backed Yes | 24c | 213.17$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.16 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…aa2abacked No | 77c | 212.51$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.88 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…f552backed Yes | 23c | 207.64$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.55 | 354 | 41%145 W · 209 L | -19.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 23c | 200$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…405abacked Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 790 | 40.9%323 W · 467 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b6…798dbacked Yes | 20c | 199.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 59c | 183.18$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.83 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 72c | 165.69$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.33 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 79c | 161.83$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1c…ebffbacked No | 58c | 155.3$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.89 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 75c | 154.95$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.6 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 51c | 150.98$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.98 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 74c | 143.43$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed Yes | 45c | 142.29$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.77 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 74c | 140.9$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.89 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x683b…c863backed Yes | 16c | 139$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…914fbacked Yes | 23c | 138.84$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 77c | 133.12$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.29 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 50c | 129$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b083backed Yes | 24c | 128.83$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62a…de09backed Yes | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 74c | 123.68$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.03 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 77c | 123.34$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.37 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 22c | 123$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 34c | 121.86$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 77c | 118.96$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.02 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 24c | 112.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +20.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 73c | 110.13$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.91 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…9bcfbacked No | 80c | 107.61$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 74cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8d…038bbacked No | 79c | 106.46$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 294 | 69.7%205 W · 89 L | +26.7wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c41…500dbacked Yes | 23c | 106.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 75c | 106.31$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c95…8188backed Yes | 19c | 104.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +359.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 77c | 101.35$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa754…ec4bbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 74 | 13.5%10 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 23c | 99.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd11…7a6cbacked Yes | 18c | 99.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Yes | 20c | 99.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 173 | 10.4%18 W · 155 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda56…4176backed Yes | 20c | 99.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 129 | 34.1%44 W · 85 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 63c | 95.93$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 78c | 95.62$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 77c | 88.44$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Yes | 22c | 88.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc29…b3b6backed Yes | 24c | 87.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 14c | 85.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcae4…e479backed No | 55c | 84.96$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.86 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked No | 77c | 84.01$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea7…7450backed No | 75c | 80.67$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 417 | 60.4%252 W · 165 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb7…2ebbbacked Yes | 22c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x420c…1f36backed Yes | 40c | 79.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 298 | 35.2%105 W · 193 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…84afbacked Yes | 67c | 77.47$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 369 | 30.6%113 W · 256 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ec…8c7dbacked Yes | 22c | 72.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 18c | 70$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec3…a081backed Yes | 18c | 69.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 175 | 24.6%43 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…cd3cbacked Yes | 22c | 68.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | -13.1wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 75c | 63.47$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 73c | 61.78$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed No | 71c | 61.55$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 79c | 59.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…de1cbacked Yes | 33c | 57.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…3afcbacked Yes | 22c | 56.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 204 | 38.7%79 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…7d9cbacked Yes | 22c | 55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36ef…3c3abacked Yes | 25c | 54.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 26c | 53.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.