Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8e0361147162a94f91a349c45fe02e219bf8fd001a148fbb51a6606b2af3a69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,345
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,817
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,345 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 0c | 13,594$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…372dbacked Yes | 30c | 727.1$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.32 | 1,531 | 24.2%371 W · 1,160 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e53…14e7backed Yes | 32c | 538.33$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.79 | 150 | 27.3%41 W · 109 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 13c | 263.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea0a…34e1backed Yes | 33c | 248.78$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.23 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 30c | 229.49$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…8ec5backed Yes | 20c | 220.08$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.34 | 153 | 34.6%53 W · 100 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 30c | 200$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b6…798dbacked Yes | 31c | 199.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 69c | 198.4$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.79 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed No | 74c | 198$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.96 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b083backed Yes | 26c | 170.3$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.13 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 7c | 166.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 11c | 161.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 8c | 160.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 69c | 155$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.86 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed No | 77c | 150$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 68c | 134.18$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.58 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…b01bbacked Yes | 30c | 131.32$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.34 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 65c | 127.03$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.65 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…0500backed Yes | 8c | 124.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 19c | 120.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc176…5d01backed No | 75c | 108.48$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked Yes | 25c | 107.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 312 | 19.9%62 W · 250 L | -40.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7c41…500dbacked Yes | 28c | 105.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed No | 70c | 103.71$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 77c | 101$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a6…9e63backed Yes | 10c | 100.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 332 | 32.8%109 W · 223 L | +18.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedcd…2507backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb139…29a1backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1c…ebffbacked No | 75c | 99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 70c | 94$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f28…9969backed Yes | 22c | 91.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 68c | 91.49$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked Yes | 30c | 89.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 69c | 88.44$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x420c…1f36backed Yes | 21c | 77.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 298 | 35.2%105 W · 193 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 21c | 73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 69c | 71$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 23c | 65.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 70c | 64.46$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 70c | 63.21$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb4…a3d2backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 77c | 59.59$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 69c | 56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 72c | 55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 71c | 54.39$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d45…4b99backed Yes | 32c | 50.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…7624backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 542 | 32.3%175 W · 367 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8db4…9c07backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1b…7eb7backed Yes | 32c | 49.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 87 | 25.3%22 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9008…09f0backed Yes | 26c | 46.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd11…7a6cbacked Yes | 27c | 44.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 67c | 43.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcff…8528backed Yes | 33c | 43.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 73c | 43.08$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea7…7450backed No | 68c | 39.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 417 | 60.4%252 W · 165 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 28c | 36.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe442…1e49backed Yes | 32c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…6ab8backed Yes | 30c | 34.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…0d4cbacked No | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 127 | 58.3%74 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…73f5backed No | 69c | 29.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea4…4a77backed No | 74c | 29.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…f434backed No | 74c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 475 | 69.5%330 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae33…7804backed No | 77c | 26.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 67c | 26.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed No | 78c | 25.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 379 | 42.2%160 W · 219 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 75c | 25.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd84…0fe5backed No | 67c | 24.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 515 | 68%350 W · 165 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 67c | 23.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 69c | 21.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2af3…bcb4backed No | 69c | 20.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19a…30b0backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a86…84ecbacked No | 76c | 17.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 465 | 49.9%232 W · 233 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked No | 73c | 17.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02e2…9177backed No | 69c | 16.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd654…2efebacked No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 404 | 61.4%248 W · 156 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 13?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.