Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93406e8eea3665800290d4f4d2f5e16a58a3c6359945e46ef42cfc7dc7fb9aba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,212
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,403
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,212 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x97ab…a19fbacked Yes | 77c | 2,445$1,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.42 | 299 | 53.8%161 W · 138 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 23c | 1,590$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.84 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 25c | 1,006$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.9 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 32c | 946.89$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.78 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 8c | 921.85$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.42 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 25c | 819.04$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.42 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 44c | 642$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.42 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 21c | 613.52$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.52 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…372dbacked Yes | 33c | 569.65$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.8 | 1,531 | 24.2%371 W · 1,160 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e53…14e7backed Yes | 43c | 542.33$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.33 | 150 | 27.3%41 W · 109 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d72…9461backed Yes | 33c | 462.95$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.71 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 66c | 450.17$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.75 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed Yes | 34c | 391.43$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.12 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 35c | 362.53$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.77 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf325…f8e0backed Yes | 59c | 346.03$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.98 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 34c | 345.72$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.85 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 55c | 335.51$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.03 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 74c | 315.09$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.03 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 44c | 293.26$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.09 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…de1cbacked Yes | 49c | 284.02$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.53 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 46c | 282.74$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.66 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 71c | 270.66$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.57 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 38c | 265.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.24 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 12c | 250.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.21 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 19c | 249.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 32c | 216.64$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.5 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Yes | 48c | 205.35$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.26 | 299 | 41.1%123 W · 176 L | +20.8wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa83c…a8f4backed No | 69c | 199.99$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.99 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b6…798dbacked Yes | 36c | 199.97$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.98 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 67c | 199.48$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.99 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb139…29a1backed Yes | 74c | 199.45$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 29c | 198.68$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.06 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed No | 37c | 198.23$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.69 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b083backed Yes | 37c | 195.74$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.97 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 65c | 195.39$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.44 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…84afbacked Yes | 45c | 191.91$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.32 | 369 | 30.6%113 W · 256 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 65c | 170$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.25 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0941…b254backed Yes | 33c | 158.26$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.34 | 119 | 35.3%42 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1c…ebffbacked Yes | 38c | 156.58$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.33 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfea5…ee06backed Yes | 36c | 154.69$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.15 | 270 | 29.3%79 W · 191 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363b…6ff7backed Yes | 33c | 152.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.72 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 64c | 149.49$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.02 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb4…a3d2backed Yes | 34c | 140.49$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.69 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 47c | 140.35$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 49c | 137.66$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.35 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 45c | 133.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.88 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…b01bbacked Yes | 33c | 129.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.09 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae33…7804backed No | 23c | 129.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 53c | 129$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.37 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 67c | 126.8$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.24 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 64c | 126.32$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.42 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked No | 64c | 124.84$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.9 | 132 | 74.2%98 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 65c | 121.61$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.39 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed No | 66c | 121.28$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.9 | 260 | 67.3%175 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 66c | 120.87$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.38 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…b3e4backed No | 52c | 119.96$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.97 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 65c | 116.18$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 46c | 114.36$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.43 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed54…4967backed Yes | 46c | 108.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 498 | 54.6%272 W · 226 L | +46.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…8ec5backed Yes | 33c | 107.48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.01 | 153 | 34.6%53 W · 100 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c41…500dbacked Yes | 34c | 106.97$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.71 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf576…a786backed No | 68c | 106.51$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.9 | 376 | 69.4%261 W · 115 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 66c | 106.39$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.23 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0f…b52abacked Yes | 50c | 102.84$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.74 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed No | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,148 | 49.6%569 W · 579 L | -34.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7b…7a75backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 271 | 29.2%79 W · 192 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 28c | 99.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.99 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f28…9969backed Yes | 52c | 99.87$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.87 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda56…4176backed Yes | 33c | 99.54$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.56 | 129 | 34.1%44 W · 85 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x851d…a743backed Yes | 25c | 99.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.33 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked No | 28c | 98.77$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 37c | 92.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.76 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe29f…cdd8backed Yes | 45c | 88.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.47 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 67c | 88.44$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.46 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420c…1f36backed Yes | 34c | 83.81$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.06 | 298 | 35.2%105 W · 193 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04f…22eabacked Yes | 36c | 83.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…b9bebacked Yes | 49c | 81.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.94 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +31.1wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa30f…4da6backed Yes | 32c | 81.54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.14 | 211 | 32.2%68 W · 143 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a0…4134backed Yes | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…65d5backed No | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 17.9%14 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8d…038bbacked Yes | 32c | 74.66$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.77 | 294 | 69.7%205 W · 89 L | +26.7wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed Yes | 58c | 74.22$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…1cefbacked Yes | 56c | 72.67$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.73 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05cc…1e1dbacked Yes | 37c | 71.19$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 60c | 69.59$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd11…7a6cbacked Yes | 31c | 68.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.62 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 54c | 66.08$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.93 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d3…3f0ebacked No | 65c | 64.71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 52c | 64.66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.56 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 70c | 64.28$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd71…1281backed Yes | 49c | 64.22$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.58 | 539 | 51.9%280 W · 259 L | +54.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…1f70backed Yes | 30c | 60.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.2 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 38c | 59.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 32c | 58.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x521e…a47bbacked Yes | 35c | 56.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.97 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.