TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xda33…dacc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
123
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Premier League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 52 out of 100; worst Cricket at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weatherlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT5834.5%20 W · 38 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on August 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$333.96
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.81
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,475Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$866.29
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C or below on June 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,297Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,297.12
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$894Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$297.95
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,476Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,475.79
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,366Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,366.31
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$5,038Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$1,262.25
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$78.21
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,016Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,016
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.18
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$560
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$356.48
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$512.03
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,050
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$590
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+203%+$135.08
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+175.2%+$364.46
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.25
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$250
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT4025%10 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-44.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Scotland vs Canadabacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Metro Bank One Day Cup: Middlesex vs Yorkshirebacked Middlesex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$787Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$213.22
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.99
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$8,686Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,685.65
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$6,842Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$2,153.54
ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Nepal vs Scotlandbacked Nepal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$475Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$475.06
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$974Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$6,519.45
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$118.5
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.15
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.59
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$6,068Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,068.46
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kingsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$2,380Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,379.7
ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Nepal vs United Arab Emiratesbacked Nepal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,632Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+88.6%+$2,330.45
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$878Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$878.3
Pakistan Super League: Hyderabad Kingsmen vs Multan Sultansbacked Multan Sultans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,299Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,299.05
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,088Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$289.17
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.84
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.87
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$8,660Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+47.5%+$4,109.9
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$7,458Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+43.6%+$3,251.02
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$484.6
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Gujarat Titansbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,365Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,364.9
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,999.99
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,484Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,484.47
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,752Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,752
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-34.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the announcers say "What a Strike" or "What a Finish" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.62
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.5
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.75
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$4,578Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$3,315.01
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,152Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+117.8%+$2,535.29
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$990Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$990.08
France vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.6
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$26.99
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.91
Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,376Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,376
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,258Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$442
Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$304
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs BC.Game Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$5,798Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+38%+$2,201.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: French Flair vs BIG (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked French Flair · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs L1ga Team (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group Bbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Angers SCO vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$998Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$997.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.