Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd76e3996e90ae08a72c0906fc7139a0bde2ca0bbe72a40836077859fb221520c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,604
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,520
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,604 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 19c | 7,877$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.14 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…daccbacked No | 80c | 6,300$5,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.25 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 17c | 3,886$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.77 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 16c | 2,754$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.16 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30bd…3cf9backed Yes | 29c | 1,473$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.28 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 23c | 1,409$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.89 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…0484backed Yes | 24c | 1,257$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.39 | 161 | 29.2%47 W · 114 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32af…a7c3backed Yes | 9c | 1,198$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.03 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.15per pick | 27cpaid | +53%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…b3ecbacked Yes | 1c | 1,146$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +6.5wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x302c…abcebacked Yes | 25c | 1,086$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.96 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 27c | 1,022$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.11 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x317c…cda9backed Yes | 9c | 788.19$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 4c | 717.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 27c | 695.69$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.52 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf65…d214backed Yes | 8c | 580.7$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.28 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2868…9b6bbacked Yes | 25c | 569.2$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0f…c1e6backed Yes | 13c | 558.58$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a81…6cf9backed Yes | 20c | 510.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 18.9%18 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0db3…5704backed Yes | 19c | 379.98$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 190 | 22.1%42 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 18c | 361.36$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 886 | 28.9%256 W · 630 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 75c | 348.53$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.63 | 471 | 36.5%172 W · 299 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 19c | 337.53$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.78 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 16c | 328.86$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.26 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 74c | 323.02$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.24 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 74c | 305$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 7c | 300$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 16c | 280.94$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.1 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcca2…fa31backed Yes | 13c | 279.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed No | 77c | 266$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.31 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d4…61dcbacked Yes | 39c | 250$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…4745backed Yes | 17c | 249.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 186 | 29.6%55 W · 131 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 73c | 244.74$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.57 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…41abbacked Yes | 8c | 238.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 472 | 39.8%188 W · 284 L | +31.2wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe396…dce1backed No | 70c | 207.66$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.35 | 236 | 66.1%156 W · 80 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x897e…7bbdbacked Yes | 18c | 200.06$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed No | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 361 | 50.4%182 W · 179 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…3e99backed Yes | 13c | 200$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…53cbbacked Yes | 15c | 196.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed Yes | 22c | 183.26$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.19 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…db4ebacked No | 62c | 174.51$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x143c…487ebacked Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x846c…a6e0backed Yes | 7c | 166.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9551…ca44backed Yes | 28c | 165$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.03 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked Yes | 19c | 163.65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed No | 75c | 161.32$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 71c | 154.35$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.21 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed Yes | 20c | 152.26$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 62c | 144.5$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.91 | 775 | 55.2%428 W · 347 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 14c | 142$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa8…f80cbacked Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaac4…efa0backed Yes | 21c | 125$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 77c | 124.55$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f6a6backed No | 80c | 123.75$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 79c | 115.43$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 11c | 111$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 352 | 32.7%115 W · 237 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes | 21c | 107.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 23c | 101.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1c…25f0backed Yes | 20c | 100.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…a576backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b2…d3d9backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf08f…8840backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked Yes | 12c | 92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 65c | 90$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3646…ba5abacked Yes | 13c | 85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 407 | 41.3%168 W · 239 L | +32.5wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked No | 72c | 82.37$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c8…f649backed Yes | 26c | 80.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 199 | 47.7%95 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c1…b087backed Yes | 19c | 80.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 162 | 20.4%33 W · 129 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…8511backed Yes | 19c | 79.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 251 | 35.1%88 W · 163 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 34c | 79.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 559 | 54.7%306 W · 253 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 67c | 77.66$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf216…4844backed Yes | 29c | 72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…6f6ebacked No | 79c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 141 | 61.7%87 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed Yes | 27c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed Yes | 32c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 173 | 24.3%42 W · 131 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 15c | 69.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 16c | 69.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yes | 31c | 68.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 274 | 21.9%60 W · 214 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 71c | 65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked No | 76c | 63.14$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe487…7fdbbacked Yes | 32c | 63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7247…ecb6backed Yes | 19c | 60.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 28c | 58.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x376c…41acbacked Yes | 25c | 57.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff18…a5fbbacked Yes | 20c | 56.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -7.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51aa…1c27backed Yes | 19c | 56.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked Yes | 30c | 55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 449 | 45.9%206 W · 243 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2baa…647abacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8810…0e4dbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa5…c42fbacked Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…0a3fbacked Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…036fbacked Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989e…aa30backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…9e1dbacked Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb31a…8817backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 182 | 54.4%99 W · 83 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed No | 68c | 47.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5579…2db1backed Yes | 27c | 46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d9…af28backed Yes | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 24?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C or below on June 24?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 38°C on June 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 39°C on June 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 40°C on June 24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.