Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C or below on June 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3634f577221894a2e92cc3c9fa5120000491d119aeb0fb81c6fa6b2655e4a84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,137
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,580
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,137 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcbce…507dbacked Yes | 78c | 3,091$2,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.84 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 19c | 2,950$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.82 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x302c…abcebacked Yes | 44c | 2,907$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,627.9 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed No | 80c | 2,233$1,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,777.81 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.97 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 20c | 1,453$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.84 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 16c | 1,354$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.17 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 73c | 1,148$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.04 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 16c | 1,061$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.33 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 17c | 964.75$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.43 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 22c | 886.73$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.25 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…932abacked No | 12c | 765.65$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.48 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 18c | 736.17$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.92 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf73d…86bebacked Yes | 18c | 692.69$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 75c | 662.28$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.65 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed No | 26c | 655$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.85 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 75c | 603.46$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.74 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 22c | 586.46$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.37 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 28c | 567.08$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.14 | 886 | 28.9%256 W · 630 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddb…3fa9backed No | 10c | 566.72$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.89 | 313 | 19.2%60 W · 253 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 45c | 562$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.85 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 59c | 542.72$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.58 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 30c | 504.71$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.28 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 59c | 500$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5072…460ebacked Yes | 42c | 466.94$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 45c | 449.97$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.15 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 22c | 441.8$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.89 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 28c | 424.44$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.31 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2868…9b6bbacked Yes | 30c | 422.66$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.68 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 74c | 409.93$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.51 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 80c | 408.75$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.63 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 21c | 403.08$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.87 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 69c | 399.99$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed Yes | 23c | 391.65$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.75 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed No | 7c | 363.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 21c | 355.03$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.29 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 6c | 348.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e9…15dcbacked Yes | 80c | 347.2$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.83 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23a…3e2bbacked Yes | 79c | 317.39$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 16c | 311.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…f6b9backed No | 25c | 310.59$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.8 | 251 | 75.7%190 W · 61 L | +24.7wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +14%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed No | 17c | 300.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed Yes | 61c | 300$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 880 | 28.9%254 W · 626 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…1ea9backed Yes | 68c | 292.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.29 | 155 | 70.3%109 W · 46 L | +23.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x31af…5c86backed Yes | 28c | 277.9$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.09 | 318 | 36.8%117 W · 201 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…2c2dbacked No | 37c | 261$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d4…61dcbacked Yes | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28c1…b087backed No | 17c | 250$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 162 | 20.4%33 W · 129 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 24c | 247$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.47 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cc…95bebacked No | 16c | 227.44$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 87 | 17.2%15 W · 72 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 67c | 212.95$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.05 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 22c | 198.15$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.32 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…0b82backed Yes | 68c | 195.46$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2733…5ae8backed No | 35c | 191.39$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.49 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbd…5a6cbacked Yes | 67c | 184.9$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.02 | 635 | 38.4%244 W · 391 L | +12.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed Yes | 17c | 179.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.22 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 24c | 177.79$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0f…c1e6backed Yes | 30c | 168.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.27 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed Yes | 68c | 164.87$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.09 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc1…647abacked Yes | 78c | 160$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.59 | 560 | 48%269 W · 291 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed Yes | 68c | 159.99$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…314cbacked Yes | 18c | 159.38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.25 | 1,211 | 29.8%361 W · 850 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed No | 29c | 153.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…b3e4backed No | 24c | 152.76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.01 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…1e8cbacked Yes | 66c | 152.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.03 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…000bbacked Yes | 78c | 149.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 80c | 146.16$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.43 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 19c | 145.53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.53 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaac4…efa0backed No | 59c | 141.79$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.31 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…c718backed Yes | 29c | 136.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.22 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b7…eeb5backed Yes | 18c | 132.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.3 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaf…1f76backed Yes | 77c | 130.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.06 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 40c | 125.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.09 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 22c | 125.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd212…5182backed Yes | 75c | 124.63$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.37 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x515c…7587backed No | 20c | 123.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed No | 58c | 120$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.4 | 850 | 49.8%423 W · 427 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…0f8abacked No | 75c | 120$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.74 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0461…fcbcbacked Yes | 73c | 120$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 724 | 66.2%479 W · 245 L | +33.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 24c | 117.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0db3…5704backed No | 29c | 115.41$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 190 | 22.1%42 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed No | 21c | 111$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 352 | 32.7%115 W · 237 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 28c | 106.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac36…b1e1backed Yes | 79c | 104.47$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 14c | 104.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc6…d496backed No | 19c | 103.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x340c…f130backed Yes | 78c | 102.72$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x272e…6e99backed No | 49c | 101.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fa…aeecbacked No | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +121.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…3fb7backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ce…49e0backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 455 | 40%182 W · 273 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb55…ff0fbacked No | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 155 | 29%45 W · 110 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…0a3fbacked No | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4476…c5fcbacked No | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 425 | 47.5%202 W · 223 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x891a…1d79backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 775 | 55.2%428 W · 347 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x897e…7bbdbacked Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 19c | 99.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked Yes | 67c | 99.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.42 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C or below on June 24?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C on June 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 38°C on June 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 39°C on June 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 40°C on June 24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.