TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x07e9…15dc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
71
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst NFL at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT3756.8%21 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.81
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.03
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$9.54
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.84
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+120.4%+$28.52
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$8.15
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$12.98
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.9
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.55
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.12
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$24.49
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.04
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.04
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+56.6%+$13.46
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C or below on June 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$69.83
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$34.4
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on May 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$8.26
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$12.19
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.73
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.47
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.89
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$4.81
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+76.6%+$14.66
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+42.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+81.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$150.57
Magic vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.59
Kings vs. Netsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.97
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$19.51
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+138.1%+$116.28
All 6 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+119.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$341Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+203%+$691.93
Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$56.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$13.34
NRFI: Cleveland Guardians vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+103.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick62cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.8
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.72
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC vs. Stade Brestois 29 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+300%+$63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$13.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$10.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$36
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bears vs. Eagles: 1H Moneylinebacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$41.37
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.