Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6efd993b84790ed3cd34da255d2d065ac45043a57ebc7db8fb46fee6c6dedcb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,832
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,861
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,832 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x302c…abcebacked Yes | 25c | 2,399$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.64 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2377…c69cbacked Yes | 25c | 1,393$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.21 | 53 | 17%9 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…1ea9backed Yes | 37c | 971.68$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.62 | 155 | 70.3%109 W · 46 L | +23.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 22c | 942.29$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.74 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 27c | 908.25$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.02 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 74c | 883.7$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.64 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 78c | 540.6$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.6 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 68c | 526.56$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.48 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 29c | 498.87$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.41 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed Yes | 30c | 490.57$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.8 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 72c | 463.68$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.83 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 11c | 450$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 23c | 449.61$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.56 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 20c | 433.19$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.58 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 27c | 425.56$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.74 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 6c | 416$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 621 | 9.8%61 W · 560 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed No | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 72c | 366$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.96 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 73c | 352.26$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.67 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 30c | 331.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.69 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 11c | 324.96$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 72c | 319.92$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.73 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 18c | 317.26$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.71 | 490 | 38.8%190 W · 300 L | +24.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed Yes | 10c | 308$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 966 | 20.7%200 W · 766 L | +59.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 11c | 297.74$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 77c | 273.04$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.24 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 73c | 265.51$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.24 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b0…64f3backed Yes | 29c | 262.09$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.74 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 72c | 256.52$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.54 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2868…9b6bbacked Yes | 33c | 240.85$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 13c | 218.12$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78fb…ab43backed Yes | 24c | 208.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…4745backed Yes | 22c | 185.71$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.86 | 186 | 29.6%55 W · 131 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 24c | 181.84$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.11 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 76c | 176$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.56 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…1d91backed Yes | 9c | 170$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbce…507dbacked Yes | 18c | 161.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed Yes | 9c | 156.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 1,857 | 18.7%347 W · 1,510 L | +77.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…695abacked Yes | 29c | 149.39$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.84 | 120 | 72.5%87 W · 33 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec47…0c22backed No | 73c | 136.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 182 | 22%40 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…517ebacked Yes | 23c | 135.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 1,643 | 27.8%456 W · 1,187 L | +117.6wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…1652backed Yes | 24c | 135.44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.51 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea4a…39d3backed Yes | 27c | 135.44$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f1…f437backed Yes | 25c | 135.06$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309b…40a1backed Yes | 23c | 134.85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 75c | 133.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.57 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 79c | 132.46$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e3…6863backed Yes | 23c | 127.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 12c | 127.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 73c | 126.73$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 775 | 55.2%428 W · 347 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee6…07cabacked Yes | 21c | 120.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54fc…4330backed Yes | 23c | 112.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbd…5a6cbacked No | 71c | 109.57$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.26 | 635 | 38.4%244 W · 391 L | +12.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd90…4bfcbacked Yes | 29c | 105.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 577 | 47%271 W · 306 L | +40.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…000bbacked Yes | 16c | 105.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c8…f649backed Yes | 30c | 101.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 199 | 47.7%95 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd69f…e526backed Yes | 29c | 101.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked No | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x897e…7bbdbacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d14…c13abacked Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 112 | 22.3%25 W · 87 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed Yes | 25c | 98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 21c | 97.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36cb…63d0backed Yes | 26c | 96.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 73c | 91.75$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0e27…d5babacked Yes | 13c | 86.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 73c | 86.29$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…e285backed Yes | 31c | 83.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 410 | 46.8%192 W · 218 L | +57.4wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4209…0ccdbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 20c | 79.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…b997backed Yes | 25c | 76.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…7cfcbacked Yes | 29c | 75.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 543 | 35%190 W · 353 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 71c | 74.52$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 26c | 74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 30c | 73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d8…03eabacked Yes | 28c | 69.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 116 | 12.1%14 W · 102 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 71c | 69.57$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…6983backed Yes | 23c | 69.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 874 | 37.3%326 W · 548 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…44f0backed Yes | 15c | 68.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 191 | 48.2%92 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ef…b0f2backed Yes | 19c | 68.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 168 | 32.7%55 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed Yes | 30c | 68.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 75c | 68.07$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 559 | 54.7%306 W · 253 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 65c | 65.82$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed Yes | 28c | 65.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…c335backed Yes | 21c | 65.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 862 | 26.8%231 W · 631 L | +28.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6b5dbacked Yes | 19c | 64.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 75c | 64.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e2…a783backed Yes | 18c | 64.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33d…3ef2backed No | 72c | 62.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 456 | 75.2%343 W · 113 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed Yes | 38c | 60.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…b3e4backed No | 78c | 60.01$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…5808backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 405 | 35.6%144 W · 261 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed Yes | 38c | 59.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 257 | 66.1%170 W · 87 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 77c | 55.08$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 64c | 55.06$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 281 | 63.7%179 W · 102 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 75c | 53.41$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 75c | 51.85$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b5…c988backed Yes | 23c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae4…bd41backed No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 27?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 27?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on June 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on June 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C or higher on June 27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.