Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on June 27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58c107778e1ded5f4dd66186836ab9a5a361e929c953c3382170a6d5ac30c276
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,899
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,191
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,899 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 11c | 1,442$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.96 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x302c…abcebacked Yes | 16c | 1,060$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.06 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 2c | 860.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 17c | 757.19$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.44 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 13c | 751.09$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.51 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 23c | 740.36$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.41 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 73c | 706.01$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.38 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 27c | 647.88$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.11 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 77c | 616.18$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.83 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 11c | 538.54$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.28 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 18c | 479.58$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.74 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7529…9d10backed Yes | 38c | 460.44$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.25 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 6c | 449.74$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2868…9b6bbacked Yes | 18c | 370.77$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.36 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 76c | 370.7$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.38 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec47…0c22backed Yes | 23c | 362.82$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.95 | 182 | 22%40 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 78c | 323.35$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.09 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 77c | 292.47$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.32 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 17c | 281.24$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.21 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 17c | 271.43$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.81 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…1083backed Yes | 20c | 252.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…3e99backed Yes | 24c | 241$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.74 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 78c | 236.35$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.19 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe396…dce1backed No | 79c | 225.34$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.42 | 236 | 66.1%156 W · 80 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e3…6863backed Yes | 23c | 204.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…932abacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 78c | 194.62$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.98 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed Yes | 6c | 191.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 1,857 | 18.7%347 W · 1,510 L | +77.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…1d91backed Yes | 19c | 188.41$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.07 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 21c | 187.16$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.32 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…7d4fbacked Yes | 18c | 184.41$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 485 | 23.7%115 W · 370 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 12c | 181.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 17c | 174$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 80c | 172.14$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.49 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 16c | 170.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 79c | 162$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.59 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…2adebacked Yes | 22c | 155$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 259 | 47.1%122 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…123abacked Yes | 25c | 153.75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.17 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 24c | 149.27$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x261e…c09fbacked Yes | 22c | 146.96$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.03 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 78c | 133.87$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff0…9c82backed Yes | 20c | 128.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…e285backed Yes | 21c | 127.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 410 | 46.8%192 W · 218 L | +57.4wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 17c | 126.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 80c | 126.25$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 13c | 124.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d72…9461backed Yes | 17c | 120.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf216…4844backed Yes | 22c | 115.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50c8…f649backed Yes | 26c | 107.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 199 | 47.7%95 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54fc…4330backed Yes | 21c | 105.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 20c | 104.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6e…2313backed Yes | 17c | 104$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 262 | 56.5%148 W · 114 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…3fb7backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…4745backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 186 | 29.6%55 W · 131 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x897e…7bbdbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 17c | 99.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 76c | 99.94$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 775 | 55.2%428 W · 347 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked Yes | 15c | 96.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7247…ecb6backed Yes | 16c | 92.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfe…4325backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc04…f007backed Yes | 22c | 89.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b3…e571backed Yes | 23c | 86.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 16c | 83.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5937…ae8dbacked Yes | 14c | 77.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 185 | 67.6%125 W · 60 L | +28.7wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked No | 75c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 490 | 38.8%190 W · 300 L | +24.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 18c | 74.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 23c | 72.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked Yes | 21c | 72.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d9…af28backed Yes | 14c | 72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 26c | 71.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…8511backed Yes | 18c | 69.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 251 | 35.1%88 W · 163 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed Yes | 28c | 66.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 853 | 30.7%262 W · 591 L | +28.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…d77cbacked No | 75c | 60.06$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 495 | 51.9%257 W · 238 L | -25.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc1…647abacked No | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 560 | 48%269 W · 291 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…5808backed Yes | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 405 | 35.6%144 W · 261 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked Yes | 18c | 57.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6b5dbacked Yes | 19c | 56.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yes | 29c | 54.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 274 | 21.9%60 W · 214 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No | 78c | 53.86$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 648 | 59.1%383 W · 265 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed Yes | 24c | 52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 21c | 51.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked No | 78c | 51.12$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 688 | 67.2%462 W · 226 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c7…0b47backed Yes | 26c | 47.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3a…00b2backed Yes | 22c | 45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 145 | 24.1%35 W · 110 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd489…7f08backed No | 80c | 43.49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 95 | 66.3%63 W · 32 L | -9.2wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 78c | 40.65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5221…bd4dbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd90…4bfcbacked No | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 577 | 47%271 W · 306 L | +40.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d81…259bbacked No | 76c | 39.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 74c | 36.84$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 918 | 61.5%565 W · 353 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6f…8cfcbacked Yes | 30c | 35.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 197 | 34%67 W · 130 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 73c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e96…b306backed No | 73c | 30.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed No | 75c | 30.04$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 899 | 51.6%464 W · 435 L | -40.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 74c | 28.49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…2aa5backed No | 79c | 25.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 161 | 57.1%92 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…50fbbacked No | 76c | 22.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 283 | 60.4%171 W · 112 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on June 27?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 27?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on June 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C or higher on June 27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.