TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfe6e…2313

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
291
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst AI at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT26256.5%148 W · 114 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 262 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$132
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on July 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on July 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16.61
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on July 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on July 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$16.16
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on July 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$71
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on July 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$157
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$47
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.59
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on July 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.95
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on July 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.14
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.58
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on July 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$20.66
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 94°F or higher on July 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.98
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.83
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Showing 25 of 262 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
Will John Healey be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.64
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on July 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.77
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on July 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.17
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on July 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$33.32
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+39%+$21.52
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.13
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$18.72
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on July 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+74.5%+$25.16
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+73.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+119.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+119.2%+$19.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 44m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Intel (INTC) Q2 adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP) 40%-42%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.