World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on July 20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa667957be3d51d95c03d5d8d0235fd5c66616900197e56fe1615b2bcaf5985a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,393
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,681
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,393 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3abd…1dd3backed Yes | 0c | 6,960$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa26f…e9bfbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -59%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbec…808bbacked Yes | 30c | 732.61$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.02 | 76 | 23.7%18 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…bbaabacked No | 76c | 690.45$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.39 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x417f…d9a9backed Yes | 24c | 679.59$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.4 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 24c | 575.32$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.4 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe718…1e2bbacked No | 73c | 442.46$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.46 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f7…dae0backed No | 78c | 357.56$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.56 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 76c | 329.45$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.92 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 75c | 325.24$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.33 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 68c | 319.1$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.4 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b42…ba1abacked Yes | 34c | 314.23$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.35 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffdd…40debacked No | 71c | 309.25$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 29c | 282.47$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.93 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 64c | 256.77$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.29 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 22c | 250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.74 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e5…e283backed No | 72c | 247.39$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.77 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 14c | 233.52$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 104 | 14.4%15 W · 89 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 41c | 227.91$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.08 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 23c | 225.31$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.94 | 392 | 31.9%125 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 69c | 222.44$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.96 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 68c | 219.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 74c | 217.85$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.12 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…73cdbacked Yes | 28c | 213$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.89 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…1d91backed Yes | 23c | 200.86$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.11 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2e…d8a9backed No | 78c | 197.04$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…9d29backed Yes | 26c | 191.91$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.42 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0c…8b5ebacked No | 76c | 174.78$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.36 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd879…ae5dbacked Yes | 29c | 155.08$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +4.0wins | +0.28per pick | 57cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x46d5…1b8abacked Yes | 10c | 154.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d82…9e66backed Yes | 32c | 145.51$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.89 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 75c | 138.44$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80e1…47a8backed No | 47c | 138.36$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.51 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…6b6dbacked No | 74c | 134.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 22c | 134.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaebd…a26fbacked Yes | 28c | 133.91$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.39 | 183 | 42.6%78 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…3c9fbacked Yes | 34c | 132.28$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9e…0948backed Yes | 26c | 129.79$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84b7…eeb5backed Yes | 20c | 128.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 72c | 125.73$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 441 | 38.1%168 W · 273 L | +27.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 31c | 123.51$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 230 | 44.8%103 W · 127 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 53c | 121.44$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.81 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed Yes | 24c | 119.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd487…5f32backed No | 80c | 113.03$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 26c | 105$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 73c | 104.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.83 | 186 | 62.4%116 W · 70 L | +13.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 56c | 104.79$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.33 | 406 | 48.8%198 W · 208 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbd…5a6cbacked Yes | 29c | 101.71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa123…8b24backed No | 66c | 101.61$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 66c | 100.47$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.74 | 131 | 55.7%73 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x199a…f436backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e2…a783backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc865…7477backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 73c | 98$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 285 | 58.9%168 W · 117 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed Yes | 23c | 96.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed Yes | 31c | 95.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2749…e996backed Yes | 27c | 93.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…dc90backed Yes | 24c | 92.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +5.8wins | +0.19per pick | 42cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 76c | 88.62$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 234 | 59.8%140 W · 94 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5641…6d0dbacked Yes | 26c | 86.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a3…09b8backed No | 78c | 84.66$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.03 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…9157backed Yes | 30c | 74.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 62c | 74.27$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 73c | 73.33$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -32.3wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 73c | 71$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 23c | 66.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9d…a422backed No | 74c | 62$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +6.3wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…4c65backed No | 79c | 60.27$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2e…64a4backed No | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 157 | 66.2%104 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 25c | 57.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6e…2313backed Yes | 25c | 54.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…0d51backed Yes | 37c | 54.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 75c | 53.77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbe…b95ebacked No | 79c | 53.75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…bc44backed No | 48c | 52.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 70c | 51.34$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Yes | 53c | 50.47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…8010backed No | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed Yes | 26c | 49.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 28c | 47.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 266 | 32.7%87 W · 179 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2f…e889backed Yes | 31c | 46.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…ead7backed Yes | 35c | 42.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 76c | 41.69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed Yes | 25c | 41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd63a…90a6backed No | 80c | 40.66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 64cpaid | +36%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x468e…5548backed No | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d2…e95cbacked Yes | 65c | 39.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 71cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6af…4219backed Yes | 65c | 38.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee2a…729bbacked No | 40c | 37.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 42c | 36.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59ab…c0d2backed Yes | 76c | 36.1$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 78c | 35.87$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 75c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 76c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 77c | 33.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…3d05backed Yes | 57c | 32.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 59c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 186 | 69.4%129 W · 57 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on July 20?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on July 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 20?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.