TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6aab…ead7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
117
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: World Politics, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 50 out of 100; worst Weather at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weatherlast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT10141.6%42 W · 59 L-8.3wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Weather — the 101 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$33.43
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on August 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+91.2%+$45.6
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+70.4%+$14.07
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+70.3%+$14.06
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 34°C on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on July 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.7
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+54.2%+$27.1
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+90.4%+$45.21
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on June 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+46.8%+$46.81
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on May 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on May 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+74.7%+$74.66
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 101 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on August 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$24.84
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+60.7%+$12.14
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on July 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+66.4%+$66.41
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.83
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Catherine Trautmann be the next mayor of Strasbourg?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+38.5%+$13.47
Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+50.1%+$55.62
Will Josée Massi be the next mayor of Toulon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+69.9%+$13.98
Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 5–10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+356.8%+$249.76
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.