Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5baa218582b700b3504aff983a86b98f8d9745af5b37f5ab11d762eaf37a85d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,985
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,662
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,985 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 5c | 4,965$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.86 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x302c…abcebacked Yes | 55c | 1,339$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.58 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6897…a4a4backed Yes | 1c | 1,008$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 192 | 17.2%33 W · 159 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 4c | 885$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.78 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 14c | 835.59$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.84 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 48c | 628.32$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.02 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 3c | 590$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…889fbacked Yes | 5c | 539.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 405 | 25.2%102 W · 303 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 63c | 532.02$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.03 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x611c…7d40backed Yes | 56c | 504.4$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6688…fdcebacked No | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 30c | 418.53$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.18 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1465…e0dbbacked Yes | 48c | 416.65$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 43c | 404.3$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.47 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed No | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.65 | 880 | 28.9%254 W · 626 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6dc…71a6backed Yes | 54c | 338.66$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.88 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -6.6wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 21c | 324.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.69 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 53c | 323.41$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.41 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 40c | 316.37$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.65 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b52…589abacked Yes | 62c | 289.72$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.88 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -4.6wins | -0.38per pick | 47cpaid | -88.4%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 34c | 280$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.42 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 53c | 262.36$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.12 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2190…bc21backed Yes | 53c | 244$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 71c | 221.77$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.76 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 43c | 221.52$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.27 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 66c | 221$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.9 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked No | 42c | 209.98$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.04 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfea…c839backed Yes | 54c | 206.12$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed Yes | 56c | 200$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.16 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1410backed No | 66c | 194.3$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.59 | 849 | 30.6%260 W · 589 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…ead7backed Yes | 54c | 185.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 46c | 171.33$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.31 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…78d8backed Yes | 53c | 169.81$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 249 | 42.6%106 W · 143 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes | 65c | 165.26$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.46 | 895 | 44.7%400 W · 495 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 61c | 162.57$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.21 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 38c | 156.2$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.65 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 48c | 153.29$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.04 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…6cb0backed Yes | 19c | 150.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 253 | 44.7%113 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 63c | 150.37$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.36 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 54c | 143.51$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.49 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 36c | 141.91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.72 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…f8b0backed No | 70c | 140.16$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.56 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 8c | 136.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 46c | 135.44$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.6 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7827…a351backed Yes | 61c | 133.95$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.37 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 48c | 130.01$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.26 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b50…c9babacked Yes | 51c | 130$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.7 | 451 | 48.6%219 W · 232 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 41c | 122.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 65c | 118.46$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.47 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e79…29b3backed No | 48c | 117.1$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 36c | 114.96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…a88abacked Yes | 44c | 113.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 39c | 112.89$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.58 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f73…a5f2backed Yes | 59c | 110$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.44 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97c5…018bbacked Yes | 75c | 108.73$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 64c | 103.98$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.09 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9e…8d54backed No | 54c | 103$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.38 | 276 | 69.2%191 W · 85 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 46c | 100.11$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.36 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…79aabacked Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0888…e6e3backed No | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38b3…1e06backed No | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.99 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 33c | 99.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 71c | 99.9$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.27 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a0…b7a2backed No | 46c | 96.36$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.92 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7782…f35fbacked No | 47c | 95.67$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 47c | 90.88$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.71 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked No | 51c | 90$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.21 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 50c | 87.48$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed Yes | 54c | 85.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.43 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c000backed Yes | 35c | 85.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 64c | 84.86$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…ba19backed No | 45c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 34c | 79.74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c6…e320backed Yes | 63c | 79.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…36dcbacked Yes | 43c | 75.12$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 402 | 37.1%149 W · 253 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 39c | 75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed Yes | 51c | 74.63$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.06 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…c27cbacked Yes | 55c | 72.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 149 | 32.9%49 W · 100 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedec…d967backed Yes | 53c | 70.46$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.34 | 179 | 26.3%47 W · 132 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x872b…d4a0backed Yes | 53c | 66.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…8f19backed Yes | 43c | 66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2108…2e40backed Yes | 52c | 64.29$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 62c | 63.87$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.03 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 24c | 63.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.27 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 61c | 60.28$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.51 | 722 | 22.3%161 W · 561 L | -37.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9110…c879backed No | 28c | 57.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 47c | 56.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.13 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…58b3backed No | 34c | 56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 52c | 54.2$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb0…cc8abacked Yes | 74c | 53.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d60…a7a5backed Yes | 54c | 53.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 425 | 55.1%234 W · 191 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…c1f5backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3942…39d7backed No | 23c | 52.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.17 | 297 | 17.2%51 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked No | 29c | 50.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…e136backed Yes | 48c | 50.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 445 | 36.2%161 W · 284 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 349 | 34.1%119 W · 230 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 607 | 39.7%241 W · 366 L | +27.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 31?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 31?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 31?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 31?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 31?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 31?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.