TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9cb0…cc8a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
124
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NFL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 55 out of 100; worst College Football at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST6315.9%10 W · 53 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$19.97
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+439.5%+$72.34
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$18.3
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+331.2%+$34.77
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+379.6%+$81.6
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$18.47
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$51.85
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$11.55
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+354.5%+$58.5
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+87.3%+$28.26
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$36.9
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$12.71
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT2437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.12
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.46
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.2
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.09
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+251.7%+$43.3
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on June 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+166.9%+$25.87
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$27.5
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on May 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.3
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on May 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+158.1%+$30.19
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on May 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on May 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$28.16
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on May 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on May 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+118.9%+$24.98
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+146.1%+$29.21
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+202.3%+$33.37
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$36.92
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.7
All 24 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$13.16
Trail Blazers vs. Warriorsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Nuggets vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
76ers vs. Bucksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Knicks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+88.7%+$35.47
Magic vs. Rocketsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$55.95
All 6 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick34cpaid-71.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-56.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Wild vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Flames vs. Blackhawksbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Predators vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+72.4%+$36.21
All 4 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lions vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+61.3%+$24.52
Chargers vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+47.1%+$23.05
Commanders vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+88.7%+$43.72
All 3 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+54.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Poland win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+33.3%+$10.44
Will Northern Ireland win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+75.4%+$21.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+78.6%+$11.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
East Carolina vs. UTSA Roadrunnersbacked East Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Louisiana vs. Arkansas Statebacked Arkansas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+72.4%+$8.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LIU Sharks vs. Fordham Ramsbacked Fordham Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+63.9%+$15.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tromsø IL win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+51.5%+$11.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+49.3%+$19.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+47.1%+$22.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$27.49
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.