Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd212e3ca35b97830201c31397adf0fab80af8962c19bd3b1aa9ffd4b89f0ab9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,227
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,062
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,227 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c15…90d5backed No | 76c | 2,962$2,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,255.5 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…54c9backed No | 10c | 1,171$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.63 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 36c | 908.18$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.3 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 11c | 799$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.16 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f19…e819backed Yes | 73c | 771.81$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.78 | 529 | 35.7%189 W · 340 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 11c | 539.85$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.2 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 6c | 444$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.58 | 352 | 32.7%115 W · 237 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 39c | 392.91$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.39 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 35c | 386.22$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.74 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…96d7backed Yes | 53c | 350.92$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.72 | 244 | 66.8%163 W · 81 L | +20.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 26c | 323.99$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.88 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 22c | 292.21$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…372dbacked Yes | 49c | 240.72$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.27 | 1,531 | 24.2%371 W · 1,160 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 44c | 232.7$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.16 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 40c | 225.1$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.78 | 767 | 55.4%425 W · 342 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed No | 15c | 222.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.15 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked No | 17c | 215.61$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.05 | 312 | 19.9%62 W · 250 L | -40.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…914fbacked Yes | 39c | 214.98$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.86 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1546…778bbacked Yes | 41c | 209.82$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.41 | 354 | 29.9%106 W · 248 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed No | 77c | 193.69$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.49 | 123 | 29.3%36 W · 87 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa00…3316backed Yes | 36c | 186.93$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…5198backed Yes | 21c | 178.45$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.97 | 1,401 | 27.3%383 W · 1,018 L | +69.5wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 15c | 170$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c54…f0bbbacked Yes | 48c | 167.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.27 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8961…ab1abacked No | 67c | 156.88$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 254 | 66.9%170 W · 84 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 23c | 154.31$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.15 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a6…9e63backed Yes | 17c | 149.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.05 | 332 | 32.8%109 W · 223 L | +18.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2af9…d04ebacked No | 20c | 146.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -45%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 41c | 145.28$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.45 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 36c | 136.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.81 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80e1…47a8backed No | 76c | 130.09$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.1 | 242 | 62.4%151 W · 91 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 130$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 29c | 124.47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.95 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa817…95d7backed Yes | 47c | 121.96$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 58c | 120$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 58c | 116.48$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.89 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd52e…8f98backed No | 56c | 115.26$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.97 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -7.2wins | -0.28per pick | 66cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…a763backed No | 76c | 102.75$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.75 | 236 | 68.2%161 W · 75 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe168…f375backed Yes | 44c | 102.07$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.74 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadb7…90b5backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…9558backed Yes | 36c | 99.94$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.25 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 25c | 94.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.81 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…a0b0backed Yes | 34c | 87.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.05 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 40c | 85.47$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.27 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47e…f8abbacked Yes | 69c | 82.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.72 | 240 | 66.3%159 W · 81 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 16c | 82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 64c | 80$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 32c | 79.85$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.35 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9a…f88abacked Yes | 41c | 72.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 18c | 72.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 52c | 70.3$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaff…5f75backed Yes | 66c | 67.92$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb6…85afbacked Yes | 75c | 66.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3311…d659backed Yes | 78c | 64.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 195 | 51.8%101 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…8fa3backed Yes | 58c | 64.02$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 393 | 46.6%183 W · 210 L | +29.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 40c | 62.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…1e6dbacked Yes | 24c | 61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 327 | 38.2%125 W · 202 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.13 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ba…da46backed Yes | 30c | 59.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 146 | 35.6%52 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed No | 70c | 59.84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf0…2330backed No | 53c | 59.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +24.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7603…2276backed No | 69c | 59.24$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.88 | 146 | 74.7%109 W · 37 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5160…80d2backed Yes | 35c | 56.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 34c | 53.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 29c | 52.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.16 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fc…d98abacked Yes | 77c | 51.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3942…39d7backed No | 21c | 50.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 297 | 17.2%51 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…6ea0backed No | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a0…4230backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…7624backed Yes | 31c | 49.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.49 | 542 | 32.3%175 W · 367 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…abbdbacked No | 73c | 49.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.49 | 446 | 46.2%206 W · 240 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x017c…00c3backed No | 28c | 49.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 250 | 42.4%106 W · 144 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9047…2959backed Yes | 40c | 49.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb0…cc8abacked Yes | 41c | 49.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.21 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x547b…d0babacked No | 55c | 46.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 29c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 56c | 44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…c8bbbacked No | 73c | 43.71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26da…8999backed Yes | 34c | 42.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Yes | 35c | 42.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 47c | 41.04$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0832…8681backed Yes | 73c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 64c | 40.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…8010backed No | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 1,271 | 47.6%605 W · 666 L | -25.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…e3a2backed No | 62c | 39.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e4…4753backed Yes | 43c | 38.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +41%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 35c | 38.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6086…a5f9backed No | 38c | 37.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 310 | 50.3%156 W · 154 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…5f75backed No | 64c | 37.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2275…c88bbacked Yes | 39c | 34.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 58c | 33.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…9945backed Yes | 56c | 33.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked No | 46c | 33.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 65c | 32.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cab…97c9backed No | 47c | 32.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28fe…1640backed Yes | 48c | 32.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 29 | 82.8%24 W · 5 L | +7.3wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 69c | 31.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 23?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.