Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30637c3d575e823b7c1be62cdcef89837f2be88b9765136645f452a3280612ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,315
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,247
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,315 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dd3…ccacbacked Yes | 4c | 3,678$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.81 | 346 | 24.3%84 W · 262 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed Yes | 5c | 1,880$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.93 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedee…7139backed Yes | 8c | 1,833$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.9 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 18c | 1,011$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.19 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 77c | 579.55$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.04 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 16c | 516.62$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.81 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed No | 80c | 416.77$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.7 | 260 | 67.3%175 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 40c | 410.66$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.73 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked Yes | 5c | 402.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 18c | 400.92$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.43 | 618 | 21.2%131 W · 487 L | -34.2wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 21c | 351.93$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.86 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 5c | 335.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a6…9e63backed Yes | 20c | 316.55$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.33 | 332 | 32.8%109 W · 223 L | +18.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 16c | 299.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 8c | 249.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…a49ebacked Yes | 32c | 231.88$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.24 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked Yes | 18c | 228.38$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.15 | 312 | 19.9%62 W · 250 L | -40.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 70c | 227$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab68…5844backed Yes | 24c | 210.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8f…1181backed Yes | 5c | 204.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 9c | 201.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 22c | 194.91$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 15c | 192.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…187dbacked Yes | 15c | 192.02$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 613 | 65.3%400 W · 213 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 75c | 176.17$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.18 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d8…cea4backed Yes | 28c | 175.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 22c | 165.52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.02 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 23c | 146.19$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 18c | 135.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9159…f1a8backed Yes | 24c | 134.28$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…6900backed No | 75c | 133.85$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.84 | 412 | 58.3%240 W · 172 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7554…0b84backed Yes | 35c | 132.89$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.16 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe63…2de4backed Yes | 31c | 128.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…fe29backed No | 73c | 122.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a8…9f68backed Yes | 29c | 119.32$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.01 | 346 | 33.8%117 W · 229 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 26c | 118.84$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 335 | 35.2%118 W · 217 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9762…73e0backed Yes | 16c | 117.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 21c | 117.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 78c | 115.32$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed No | 65c | 109.08$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 123 | 29.3%36 W · 87 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 20c | 105.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96c4…e168backed No | 75c | 103.8$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 37c | 103.27$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a36…f270backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 19c | 99.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 74c | 90.08$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.82 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 26c | 90$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 76c | 79.23$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadaa…875abacked Yes | 19c | 78.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 29c | 76.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 26c | 74.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 73c | 72$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 29c | 70.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed Yes | 15c | 70.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…9558backed Yes | 27c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 19c | 69.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…4e6ebacked Yes | 26c | 65.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2aa…3e28backed Yes | 27c | 64.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4b…ac6bbacked Yes | 19c | 64.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 358 | 54.7%196 W · 162 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 31c | 64.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 74c | 64$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 503 | 73.2%368 W · 135 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa811…75b8backed No | 77c | 64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e1…7858backed Yes | 33c | 61.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23b2…605cbacked No | 74c | 60.81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked Yes | 51c | 60.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6f…e9fabacked Yes | 28c | 60.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 74c | 60.19$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x784b…f19ebacked Yes | 26c | 60.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f83…9847backed Yes | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…abffbacked Yes | 26c | 58.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 306 | 65%199 W · 107 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 27c | 58.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…a0b0backed Yes | 31c | 58.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3eb…b529backed Yes | 30c | 57.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 616 | 29.4%181 W · 435 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 35c | 52.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Yes | 24c | 52.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a9…5165backed Yes | 29c | 51.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf33…0d65backed Yes | 35c | 50.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f12…59ddbacked Yes | 48c | 50.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 940 | 66.4%624 W · 316 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 77c | 49.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 548 | 67.3%369 W · 179 L | +26.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…b00dbacked No | 67c | 49.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 786 | 63.6%500 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…15c2backed No | 72c | 49.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 173 | 64.7%112 W · 61 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 22c | 49.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ce…0dc4backed Yes | 25c | 49.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 28c | 48.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 72c | 47$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed No | 71c | 46.97$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 230 | 35.7%82 W · 148 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb0…cc8abacked Yes | 30c | 45.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 41c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea7…e13fbacked Yes | 30c | 44.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa081…e7a0backed No | 65c | 44.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 389 | 61.7%240 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3221…f1bebacked No | 79c | 44.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 74c | 42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c8…b823backed No | 70c | 41.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x358b…3722backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 525 | 33.1%174 W · 351 L | +21.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…eb02backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 348 | 46.6%162 W · 186 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b083backed Yes | 26c | 39.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…d88dbacked Yes | 52c | 38.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 78c | 37.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c77…7ae8backed Yes | 30c | 37.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 13?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C or below on May 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 13?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.